Democratic incumbent Maxwell Frost holds a commanding lead in the FL-20 House race, reflecting the district's Democratic-leaning demographics in Orlando and surrounding areas, where he won by 20 points in 2022. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 87%, driven by consistent polling averages showing Frost ahead by double digits against Republican challenger Scott Gonnion, who emerged from a low-turnout primary. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in recent weeks, with early voting now underway ahead of the November 5 general election; strong turnout among young and diverse voters bolsters Frost's path to reelection. While GOP odds sit at 11.5%, historical incumbency advantages in safe seats underpin the market's positioning, though late surprises remain possible.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-20
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-20
Демократическая партия
87%
Республиканская партия
12%
Демократическая партия
87%
Республиканская партия
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Maxwell Frost holds a commanding lead in the FL-20 House race, reflecting the district's Democratic-leaning demographics in Orlando and surrounding areas, where he won by 20 points in 2022. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 87%, driven by consistent polling averages showing Frost ahead by double digits against Republican challenger Scott Gonnion, who emerged from a low-turnout primary. No major scandals or shifts have emerged in recent weeks, with early voting now underway ahead of the November 5 general election; strong turnout among young and diverse voters bolsters Frost's path to reelection. While GOP odds sit at 11.5%, historical incumbency advantages in safe seats underpin the market's positioning, though late surprises remain possible.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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