Republican majorities in both the House and Senate following the 2024 elections form the primary barrier to impeachment by the end of 2026, requiring a simple House majority to impeach and a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction—outcomes improbable under unified GOP control. Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, and smooth cabinet nomination process have shifted focus to executive transition and policy priorities, with no scandals, indictments, or legislative actions in recent weeks prompting accountability pushes. While 2026 midterms could alter congressional math, traders' strong consensus against impeachment reflects current institutional dynamics and historical precedent of failed prior efforts lacking bipartisan support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$639,415 Объем
$639,415 Объем
Да
$639,415 Объем
$639,415 Объем
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both the House and Senate following the 2024 elections form the primary barrier to impeachment by the end of 2026, requiring a simple House majority to impeach and a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction—outcomes improbable under unified GOP control. Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, and smooth cabinet nomination process have shifted focus to executive transition and policy priorities, with no scandals, indictments, or legislative actions in recent weeks prompting accountability pushes. While 2026 midterms could alter congressional math, traders' strong consensus against impeachment reflects current institutional dynamics and historical precedent of failed prior efforts lacking bipartisan support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы