Trader sentiment on Karoline Leavitt's arrival time for the next White House press briefing remains tightly clustered across intervals, reflecting her recent pattern of variable delays in prior sessions—ranging from under 5 minutes to over 25—driven by traffic, preparation overruns, or scheduling hiccups amid transition chaos. Official briefing schedules start at 1 PM ET, but Leavitt's past entrances have shown no clear trend, with traders pricing equal odds as the wisdom-of-crowds hedges against unpredictability. Separation could emerge from real-time updates like motorcade tracking, her X posts on delays, or weather impacts; a repeat of last week's 18-minute lag might boost 15-20 minute shares, while an on-time arrival would spike under-5 probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<5 minutes 43%
10 - 15 minutes 43%
15 - 20 minutes 42%
20 - 25 minutes 42%
<5 minutes
43%
5 - 10 minutes
41%
10 - 15 minutes
43%
15 - 20 minutes
42%
20 - 25 minutes
42%
25+ минут
42%
<5 minutes 43%
10 - 15 minutes 43%
15 - 20 minutes 42%
20 - 25 minutes 42%
<5 minutes
43%
5 - 10 minutes
41%
10 - 15 minutes
43%
15 - 20 minutes
42%
20 - 25 minutes
42%
25+ минут
42%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Karoline Leavitt's arrival time for the next White House press briefing remains tightly clustered across intervals, reflecting her recent pattern of variable delays in prior sessions—ranging from under 5 minutes to over 25—driven by traffic, preparation overruns, or scheduling hiccups amid transition chaos. Official briefing schedules start at 1 PM ET, but Leavitt's past entrances have shown no clear trend, with traders pricing equal odds as the wisdom-of-crowds hedges against unpredictability. Separation could emerge from real-time updates like motorcade tracking, her X posts on delays, or weather impacts; a repeat of last week's 18-minute lag might boost 15-20 minute shares, while an on-time arrival would spike under-5 probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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