Trump's approval rating tracker sits tightly around 40% in trader consensus, driven by recent national poll averages like RealClearPolitics at 40.3% approve as of March 26, blending Rasmussen's 45% high with lower Quinnipiac and CBS figures near 38%. Early post-inauguration honeymoon gains have eroded amid controversies over tariff announcements and cabinet confirmations, offsetting positive economic sentiment from stock market highs. Divergent polling methodologies and small sample volatility keep bins from 38% to 41% dominant, with under 10% odds above 41.5%. Fresh March 27 surveys or reactions to ongoing Ukraine aid debates could widen spreads by confirming trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоTrump approval rating on March 27?
Trump approval rating on March 27?
40.0–40.4 38%
<40.0 28%
40.5–40.9 25%
41.0–41.4 7%
<40.0
28%
40.0–40.4
38%
40.5–40.9
25%
41.0–41.4
7%
41.5–41.9
4%
42.0+
2%
40.0–40.4 38%
<40.0 28%
40.5–40.9 25%
41.0–41.4 7%
<40.0
28%
40.0–40.4
38%
40.5–40.9
25%
41.0–41.4
7%
41.5–41.9
4%
42.0+
2%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's approval rating tracker sits tightly around 40% in trader consensus, driven by recent national poll averages like RealClearPolitics at 40.3% approve as of March 26, blending Rasmussen's 45% high with lower Quinnipiac and CBS figures near 38%. Early post-inauguration honeymoon gains have eroded amid controversies over tariff announcements and cabinet confirmations, offsetting positive economic sentiment from stock market highs. Divergent polling methodologies and small sample volatility keep bins from 38% to 41% dominant, with under 10% odds above 41.5%. Fresh March 27 surveys or reactions to ongoing Ukraine aid debates could widen spreads by confirming trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы