Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 Объем
$303,232 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
Before May 15
No
May 15–22
Yes
May 23–29
No
May 30–June 5
No
June 6–12
No
June 13–19
No
June 20–26
No
June 27–July 3
No
After July 3
No
May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 Объем
$303,232 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
Before May 15
$36,952 Объем
No
May 15–22
$141,224 Объем
Yes
May 23–29
$25,809 Объем
No
May 30–June 5
$19,292 Объем
No
June 6–12
$13,359 Объем
No
June 13–19
$11,235 Объем
No
June 20–26
$15,267 Объем
No
June 27–July 3
$17,147 Объем
No
After July 3
$22,948 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Объем
$303,232Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$303,232Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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