The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.5% to 4.56%, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings with core PCE around 3.2% in early 2026 data and the Federal Reserve holding its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Policymakers noted risks of further firming if price pressures persist above the 2% goal, while elevated Treasury issuance, fiscal concerns, and Middle East geopolitical tensions supporting higher oil prices add upward pressure on long-term rates. Markets continue to price in limited near-term policy easing, with upcoming CPI and PCE releases plus the next FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift expectations for the yield's peak before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНасколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
Насколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
$236,591 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
4,8%
38%
5,0%
16%
5,2%
8%
5,5%
7%
5,7%
5%
6,0%
3%
$236,591 Объем
4,8%
$50,137 Объем
38%
5,0%
$57,794 Объем
16%
5,2%
$13,989 Объем
8%
5,5%
$2,305 Объем
7%
5,7%
$3,779 Объем
5%
6,0%
$2,301 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.5% to 4.56%, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings with core PCE around 3.2% in early 2026 data and the Federal Reserve holding its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Policymakers noted risks of further firming if price pressures persist above the 2% goal, while elevated Treasury issuance, fiscal concerns, and Middle East geopolitical tensions supporting higher oil prices add upward pressure on long-term rates. Markets continue to price in limited near-term policy easing, with upcoming CPI and PCE releases plus the next FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift expectations for the yield's peak before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Объем
$236,591Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.5% to 4.56%, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings with core PCE around 3.2% in early 2026 data and the Federal Reserve holding its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Policymakers noted risks of further firming if price pressures persist above the 2% goal, while elevated Treasury issuance, fiscal concerns, and Middle East geopolitical tensions supporting higher oil prices add upward pressure on long-term rates. Markets continue to price in limited near-term policy easing, with upcoming CPI and PCE releases plus the next FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift expectations for the yield's peak before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Объем
$236,591Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.5% to 4.56%, remains anchored by sticky inflation readings with core PCE around 3.2% in early 2026 data and the Federal Reserve holding its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% following the April FOMC meeting. Policymakers noted risks of further firming if price pressures persist above the 2% goal, while elevated Treasury issuance, fiscal concerns, and Middle East geopolitical tensions supporting higher oil prices add upward pressure on long-term rates. Markets continue to price in limited near-term policy easing, with upcoming CPI and PCE releases plus the next FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift expectations for the yield's peak before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы