Israeli and Lebanese officials reached a US-mediated conditional ceasefire agreement on June 3, 2026, calling for Hezbollah to cease fire and withdraw fighters from southern areas south of the Litani River in exchange for phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones. Hezbollah immediately rejected the deal, insisting on a full Israeli withdrawal from positions held inside Lebanon as a precondition, while Israeli officials stated forces would remain in established security buffer zones to prevent Hezbollah re-infiltration. These developments follow earlier partial Israeli pullbacks under prior truces, with ongoing strikes and Iranian statements reinforcing demands for complete Israeli exit to pre-conflict lines. UNIFIL’s mandate is set to conclude at the end of 2026, adding timeline pressure on implementation of resolution 1701 frameworks. Trader sentiment centers on whether security guarantees or further diplomacy can bridge the gap before scheduled resolution dates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИзраиль уходит из Ливана...?
Израиль уходит из Ливана...?
$2,338,936 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня
5%
July 31
12%
$2,338,936 Объем
30 июня
$625,438 Объем
5%
July 31
$98,050 Объем
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials reached a US-mediated conditional ceasefire agreement on June 3, 2026, calling for Hezbollah to cease fire and withdraw fighters from southern areas south of the Litani River in exchange for phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones. Hezbollah immediately rejected the deal, insisting on a full Israeli withdrawal from positions held inside Lebanon as a precondition, while Israeli officials stated forces would remain in established security buffer zones to prevent Hezbollah re-infiltration. These developments follow earlier partial Israeli pullbacks under prior truces, with ongoing strikes and Iranian statements reinforcing demands for complete Israeli exit to pre-conflict lines. UNIFIL’s mandate is set to conclude at the end of 2026, adding timeline pressure on implementation of resolution 1701 frameworks. Trader sentiment centers on whether security guarantees or further diplomacy can bridge the gap before scheduled resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Объем
$2,338,936Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials reached a US-mediated conditional ceasefire agreement on June 3, 2026, calling for Hezbollah to cease fire and withdraw fighters from southern areas south of the Litani River in exchange for phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones. Hezbollah immediately rejected the deal, insisting on a full Israeli withdrawal from positions held inside Lebanon as a precondition, while Israeli officials stated forces would remain in established security buffer zones to prevent Hezbollah re-infiltration. These developments follow earlier partial Israeli pullbacks under prior truces, with ongoing strikes and Iranian statements reinforcing demands for complete Israeli exit to pre-conflict lines. UNIFIL’s mandate is set to conclude at the end of 2026, adding timeline pressure on implementation of resolution 1701 frameworks. Trader sentiment centers on whether security guarantees or further diplomacy can bridge the gap before scheduled resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Объем
$2,338,936Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli and Lebanese officials reached a US-mediated conditional ceasefire agreement on June 3, 2026, calling for Hezbollah to cease fire and withdraw fighters from southern areas south of the Litani River in exchange for phased Lebanese army deployment in pilot zones. Hezbollah immediately rejected the deal, insisting on a full Israeli withdrawal from positions held inside Lebanon as a precondition, while Israeli officials stated forces would remain in established security buffer zones to prevent Hezbollah re-infiltration. These developments follow earlier partial Israeli pullbacks under prior truces, with ongoing strikes and Iranian statements reinforcing demands for complete Israeli exit to pre-conflict lines. UNIFIL’s mandate is set to conclude at the end of 2026, adding timeline pressure on implementation of resolution 1701 frameworks. Trader sentiment centers on whether security guarantees or further diplomacy can bridge the gap before scheduled resolution dates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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