Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, underpinning trader consensus implying a 91% probability he stays in office past December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing 8,931 days as India's longest-serving elected leader just days ago, signal tenure continuity halfway through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. A January 2026 India Today Mood of the Nation poll projects BJP strength at 287 seats if elections occurred now, bolstering stability amid routine parliamentary sessions like his March 18 farewell to outgoing Rajya Sabha MPs, where he affirmed no "full stop" in politics. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's speculation of an early exit, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric without official triggers like no-confidence votes or snap elections. State assembly polls in 2026 pose tests, but national math favors incumbency unless disrupted by unforeseen health or scandal developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМоди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Моди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$16,951 Объем
$16,951 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$16,951 Объем
$16,951 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, underpinning trader consensus implying a 91% probability he stays in office past December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing 8,931 days as India's longest-serving elected leader just days ago, signal tenure continuity halfway through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. A January 2026 India Today Mood of the Nation poll projects BJP strength at 287 seats if elections occurred now, bolstering stability amid routine parliamentary sessions like his March 18 farewell to outgoing Rajya Sabha MPs, where he affirmed no "full stop" in politics. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's speculation of an early exit, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric without official triggers like no-confidence votes or snap elections. State assembly polls in 2026 pose tests, but national math favors incumbency unless disrupted by unforeseen health or scandal developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$16,951Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, underpinning trader consensus implying a 91% probability he stays in office past December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing 8,931 days as India's longest-serving elected leader just days ago, signal tenure continuity halfway through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. A January 2026 India Today Mood of the Nation poll projects BJP strength at 287 seats if elections occurred now, bolstering stability amid routine parliamentary sessions like his March 18 farewell to outgoing Rajya Sabha MPs, where he affirmed no "full stop" in politics. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's speculation of an early exit, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric without official triggers like no-confidence votes or snap elections. State assembly polls in 2026 pose tests, but national math favors incumbency unless disrupted by unforeseen health or scandal developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$16,951Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government remains firmly entrenched, underpinning trader consensus implying a 91% probability he stays in office past December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing 8,931 days as India's longest-serving elected leader just days ago, signal tenure continuity halfway through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. A January 2026 India Today Mood of the Nation poll projects BJP strength at 287 seats if elections occurred now, bolstering stability amid routine parliamentary sessions like his March 18 farewell to outgoing Rajya Sabha MPs, where he affirmed no "full stop" in politics. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's speculation of an early exit, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric without official triggers like no-confidence votes or snap elections. State assembly polls in 2026 pose tests, but national math favors incumbency unless disrupted by unforeseen health or scandal developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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