Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the NDA’s parliamentary majority, the BJP’s organizational strength, and the absence of any scheduled national election or constitutional process that could force an early exit before the 2029 Lok Sabha polls. Recent protests by opposition parties and groups such as the CJP over Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls and the Chief Election Commissioner have drawn police responses and detentions but have not produced defections, loss of confidence votes, or institutional challenges capable of removing him. Modi continues to receive public endorsements from coalition partners and RSS-aligned figures while marking 25 years in executive office, and polling trends continue to favor the incumbent coalition. Traders price the low probability of departure by December 2026 on these structural and political realities rather than short-term demonstrations.
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