Escalating tensions between India and Pakistan center on the October 20 militant attack in Kashmir's Pahalgam, killing 26 civilians mostly tourists, which India attributes to The Resistance Front—a Lashkar-e-Taiba affiliate backed by Pakistan. Prime Minister Modi pledged a "strong response," fueling speculation of airstrikes or cross-border action akin to the 2016 Uri surgical strikes and 2019 Balakot raids. Pakistan rejects accusations, elevated military alert levels, and threatened retaliation. Recent diplomatic escalations include India's expulsion of a Pakistani diplomat and suspension of Indus Waters Treaty talks. Traders monitor for de-escalation signals or further incidents amid U.S. restraint appeals, with no verified military actions in the past week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИндия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
Индия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
$914,453 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
1%
31 декабря 2026 года
29%
$914,453 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
1%
31 декабря 2026 года
29%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating tensions between India and Pakistan center on the October 20 militant attack in Kashmir's Pahalgam, killing 26 civilians mostly tourists, which India attributes to The Resistance Front—a Lashkar-e-Taiba affiliate backed by Pakistan. Prime Minister Modi pledged a "strong response," fueling speculation of airstrikes or cross-border action akin to the 2016 Uri surgical strikes and 2019 Balakot raids. Pakistan rejects accusations, elevated military alert levels, and threatened retaliation. Recent diplomatic escalations include India's expulsion of a Pakistani diplomat and suspension of Indus Waters Treaty talks. Traders monitor for de-escalation signals or further incidents amid U.S. restraint appeals, with no verified military actions in the past week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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