Tensions between India and Pakistan escalated sharply after militants killed seven civilians, including tourists, in an October 22 attack in Indian-administered Kashmir's Anantnag district near Pahalgam. The Resistance Front, affiliated with Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba, claimed responsibility, prompting India to expel a Pakistani diplomat, suspend the Indus Waters Treaty, close the Attari-Wagah border crossing, and halt bilateral trade and visa-free travel. Prime Minister Narendra Modi vowed to pursue perpetrators "to the ends of the earth," while Pakistan denied involvement and offered a joint probe. Indian forces remain on high alert along the Line of Control amid cross-border terrorism accusations, evoking the 2019 Balakot airstrikes following Pulwama. No further military actions reported, with diplomatic standoff defining trader focus on escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИндия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
Индия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
$915,281 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
1%
31 декабря 2026 года
29%
$915,281 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
1%
31 декабря 2026 года
29%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between India and Pakistan escalated sharply after militants killed seven civilians, including tourists, in an October 22 attack in Indian-administered Kashmir's Anantnag district near Pahalgam. The Resistance Front, affiliated with Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba, claimed responsibility, prompting India to expel a Pakistani diplomat, suspend the Indus Waters Treaty, close the Attari-Wagah border crossing, and halt bilateral trade and visa-free travel. Prime Minister Narendra Modi vowed to pursue perpetrators "to the ends of the earth," while Pakistan denied involvement and offered a joint probe. Indian forces remain on high alert along the Line of Control amid cross-border terrorism accusations, evoking the 2019 Balakot airstrikes following Pulwama. No further military actions reported, with diplomatic standoff defining trader focus on escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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