Recent US actions have intensified focus on potential military options against Cuba. On May 20, 2026, federal prosecutors indicted former Cuban President Raúl Castro over the 1996 downing of civilian planes, coinciding with deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group and supporting vessels to the Caribbean along with expanded surveillance flights. The Trump administration has imposed additional sanctions on Cuban officials, maintained an energy blockade affecting oil imports, and signaled regime-change goals through executive measures. Cuban leaders have rejected the charges as pretextual and warned that any US strike would trigger a major conflict, while US officials describe military planning as contingency work without imminent execution. These developments, including public statements from President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, shape trader assessments of escalation risks through the coming months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВоенные действия США против Кубы с помощью...?
$5,008,266 Объем
31 декабря
50%
$5,008,266 Объем
31 декабря
50%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US actions have intensified focus on potential military options against Cuba. On May 20, 2026, federal prosecutors indicted former Cuban President Raúl Castro over the 1996 downing of civilian planes, coinciding with deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group and supporting vessels to the Caribbean along with expanded surveillance flights. The Trump administration has imposed additional sanctions on Cuban officials, maintained an energy blockade affecting oil imports, and signaled regime-change goals through executive measures. Cuban leaders have rejected the charges as pretextual and warned that any US strike would trigger a major conflict, while US officials describe military planning as contingency work without imminent execution. These developments, including public statements from President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, shape trader assessments of escalation risks through the coming months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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