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Политика·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Market icon
Политика·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

мар. 31

апр. 3

апр. 7

апр. 10

мар. 31

апр. 3

апр. 7

апр. 10

5-9 30%

<5 26%

10–14 26%

15–19 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

5-9 30%

<5 26%

10–14 26%

15–19 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<5

$0 Объем

26%

5-9

$0 Объем

30%

10–14

$0 Объем

26%

15–19

$0 Объем

26%

20–24

$0 Объем

15%

25-29

$0 Объем

15%

30-34

$0 Объем

13%

35–39

$31 Объем

8%

40-44

$31 Объем

8%

45-49

$31 Объем

8%

50–54

$31 Объем

8%

55-59

$31 Объем

8%

60+

$31 Объем

7%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects evenly distributed probabilities across low post counts for April 3–10, driven by recent weeks' sparse activity of 2–4 reposts of archived statements from the martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now curated amid Mojtaba Khamenei's leadership transition following his March assassination. Posts timed to current US-Iran tensions, Hezbollah resilience, and Trump criticisms have kept volumes consistently low since mid-March, creating uncertainty as geopolitical flashpoints like potential Strait of Hormuz blockades or Israeli strikes on proxies could prompt bursts. Leadership health rumors around Mojtaba and proxy escalations represent key catalysts for separation, with no major uptick in the past 48 hours.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$184
Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects evenly distributed probabilities across low post counts for April 3–10, driven by recent weeks' sparse activity of 2–4 reposts of archived statements from the martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now curated amid Mojtaba Khamenei's leadership transition following his March assassination. Posts timed to current US-Iran tensions, Hezbollah resilience, and Trump criticisms have kept volumes consistently low since mid-March, creating uncertainty as geopolitical flashpoints like potential Strait of Hormuz blockades or Israeli strikes on proxies could prompt bursts. Leadership health rumors around Mojtaba and proxy escalations represent key catalysts for separation, with no major uptick in the past 48 hours.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$184
Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «5-9» с 30%, за ним следует «<5» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?» — «5-9» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<5» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.