White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's variable arrival patterns to scheduled briefings, often 15-35 minutes late due to last-minute preparations amid fast-evolving foreign policy crises like the ongoing Iran war and Middle East troop deployments, have kept Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched. The March 30 briefing, announced for 1:00 PM ET, faced a reported delay as noted in real-time social media updates, echoing a February 5 instance of confirmed tardiness and contributing to trader consensus favoring mid-range outcomes without separation. No clear trend dominates recent sessions, including March 25; sudden internal meetings, diplomatic announcements, or streamlined prep could shift odds toward punctuality or longer delays ahead of the next event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено25 - 30 minutes 37%
<15 minutes 36%
20 - 25 minutes 35%
30 - 35 minutes 35%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 апр. 2026 г.
<15 minutes
36%
15 - 20 minutes
34%
20 - 25 minutes
35%
25 - 30 minutes
37%
30 - 35 minutes
35%
35+ minutes
35%
25 - 30 minutes 37%
<15 minutes 36%
20 - 25 minutes 35%
30 - 35 minutes 35%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 апр. 2026 г.
<15 minutes
$1 Объем
36%
15 - 20 minutes
$0 Объем
34%
20 - 25 minutes
$0 Объем
35%
25 - 30 minutes
$2 Объем
37%
30 - 35 minutes
$0 Объем
35%
35+ minutes
$0 Объем
35%
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's variable arrival patterns to scheduled briefings, often 15-35 minutes late due to last-minute preparations amid fast-evolving foreign policy crises like the ongoing Iran war and Middle East troop deployments, have kept Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched. The March 30 briefing, announced for 1:00 PM ET, faced a reported delay as noted in real-time social media updates, echoing a February 5 instance of confirmed tardiness and contributing to trader consensus favoring mid-range outcomes without separation. No clear trend dominates recent sessions, including March 25; sudden internal meetings, diplomatic announcements, or streamlined prep could shift odds toward punctuality or longer delays ahead of the next event.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Объем
$4Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's variable arrival patterns to scheduled briefings, often 15-35 minutes late due to last-minute preparations amid fast-evolving foreign policy crises like the ongoing Iran war and Middle East troop deployments, have kept Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched. The March 30 briefing, announced for 1:00 PM ET, faced a reported delay as noted in real-time social media updates, echoing a February 5 instance of confirmed tardiness and contributing to trader consensus favoring mid-range outcomes without separation. No clear trend dominates recent sessions, including March 25; sudden internal meetings, diplomatic announcements, or streamlined prep could shift odds toward punctuality or longer delays ahead of the next event.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Объем
$4Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's variable arrival patterns to scheduled briefings, often 15-35 minutes late due to last-minute preparations amid fast-evolving foreign policy crises like the ongoing Iran war and Middle East troop deployments, have kept Polymarket probabilities tightly bunched. The March 30 briefing, announced for 1:00 PM ET, faced a reported delay as noted in real-time social media updates, echoing a February 5 instance of confirmed tardiness and contributing to trader consensus favoring mid-range outcomes without separation. No clear trend dominates recent sessions, including March 25; sudden internal meetings, diplomatic announcements, or streamlined prep could shift odds toward punctuality or longer delays ahead of the next event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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