President-elect Trump's December 2024 Time interview renewed his interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons amid Arctic strategic competition with Russia and China, but Danish officials immediately reaffirmed that the autonomous Danish territory is not for sale, echoing 2019 rejections. Greenlandic leaders have consistently opposed any transfer, prioritizing self-determination and potential independence. Traders price "No" at 90.8% implied probability, reflecting diplomatic consensus on sovereignty barriers, lack of bilateral negotiations, and historical precedents against U.S. territorial purchases, with no scheduled summits or policy shifts before 2027 to alter this stance absent a seismic geopolitical rupture.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$30,808,437 Объем
$30,808,437 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$30,808,437 Объем
$30,808,437 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President-elect Trump's December 2024 Time interview renewed his interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons amid Arctic strategic competition with Russia and China, but Danish officials immediately reaffirmed that the autonomous Danish territory is not for sale, echoing 2019 rejections. Greenlandic leaders have consistently opposed any transfer, prioritizing self-determination and potential independence. Traders price "No" at 90.8% implied probability, reflecting diplomatic consensus on sovereignty barriers, lack of bilateral negotiations, and historical precedents against U.S. territorial purchases, with no scheduled summits or policy shifts before 2027 to alter this stance absent a seismic geopolitical rupture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Объем
$30,808,437Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President-elect Trump's December 2024 Time interview renewed his interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons amid Arctic strategic competition with Russia and China, but Danish officials immediately reaffirmed that the autonomous Danish territory is not for sale, echoing 2019 rejections. Greenlandic leaders have consistently opposed any transfer, prioritizing self-determination and potential independence. Traders price "No" at 90.8% implied probability, reflecting diplomatic consensus on sovereignty barriers, lack of bilateral negotiations, and historical precedents against U.S. territorial purchases, with no scheduled summits or policy shifts before 2027 to alter this stance absent a seismic geopolitical rupture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$30,808,437Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's December 2024 Time interview renewed his interest in acquiring Greenland for national security reasons amid Arctic strategic competition with Russia and China, but Danish officials immediately reaffirmed that the autonomous Danish territory is not for sale, echoing 2019 rejections. Greenlandic leaders have consistently opposed any transfer, prioritizing self-determination and potential independence. Traders price "No" at 90.8% implied probability, reflecting diplomatic consensus on sovereignty barriers, lack of bilateral negotiations, and historical precedents against U.S. territorial purchases, with no scheduled summits or policy shifts before 2027 to alter this stance absent a seismic geopolitical rupture.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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