Severe weather across the Midwest and Northeast, including thunderstorms and high winds, combined with ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages, has driven US flight delays into the 5,000-6,000 range over the past week, with March 26 reporting over 5,200 delays per DOT data. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 5,000-5,500 (54%) and >6,000 (49.5%), reflecting uncertainty in March 27 forecasts showing continued storm risks in key hubs like Chicago and Atlanta during peak spring travel. A major FAA system glitch or escalation in cancellations could push totals above 6,000, while clearing skies or improved controller shifts might drop below 5,000, keeping the race competitive amid fluctuating real-time conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNumber of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
5,000-5,500 54%
>6,000 50%
5,500-6,000 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
$353 Объем
$353 Объем
<3,000
30%
3,000-3,500
8%
3,500-4,000
44%
4,000-4,500
45%
4,500-5,000
48%
5,000-5,500
54%
5,500-6,000
48%
>6,000
50%
5,000-5,500 54%
>6,000 50%
5,500-6,000 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
$353 Объем
$353 Объем
<3,000
30%
3,000-3,500
8%
3,500-4,000
44%
4,000-4,500
45%
4,500-5,000
48%
5,000-5,500
54%
5,500-6,000
48%
>6,000
50%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Severe weather across the Midwest and Northeast, including thunderstorms and high winds, combined with ongoing FAA air traffic control staffing shortages, has driven US flight delays into the 5,000-6,000 range over the past week, with March 26 reporting over 5,200 delays per DOT data. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 5,000-5,500 (54%) and >6,000 (49.5%), reflecting uncertainty in March 27 forecasts showing continued storm risks in key hubs like Chicago and Atlanta during peak spring travel. A major FAA system glitch or escalation in cancellations could push totals above 6,000, while clearing skies or improved controller shifts might drop below 5,000, keeping the race competitive amid fluctuating real-time conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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