Trader consensus tightly clusters around 5,500-7,000 US flight delays for March 31, mirroring yesterday's FlightAware tally of 5,865 domestic delays amid steady spring break volume and recovery from mid-March storms that spiked disruptions over 12,000. FAA advisories flag only moderate wind impacts at Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), and Washington-area airports, plus isolated thunderstorms in Florida (MIA, FLL) and Chicago (ORD/MDW), pacing live counts at 2,602 delays so far. Ongoing partial government shutdown strains TSA checkpoints but hasn't escalated delays recently; intensification of forecasted weather, unexpected FAA ground stops, or surging passenger throughput could separate higher bins, while benign conditions favor sub-5,500 outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено5,500-6,000 42%
6,000-6,500 41%
6,500-7,000 41%
7,000-7,500 36%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
<5,000
27%
5,000-5,500
31%
5,500-6,000
42%
6,000-6,500
41%
6,500-7,000
41%
7,000-7,500
36%
7,500-8,000
35%
>8,000
35%
5,500-6,000 42%
6,000-6,500 41%
6,500-7,000 41%
7,000-7,500 36%
$0.00 Объем
$0.00 Объем
<5,000
27%
5,000-5,500
31%
5,500-6,000
42%
6,000-6,500
41%
6,500-7,000
41%
7,000-7,500
36%
7,500-8,000
35%
>8,000
35%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus tightly clusters around 5,500-7,000 US flight delays for March 31, mirroring yesterday's FlightAware tally of 5,865 domestic delays amid steady spring break volume and recovery from mid-March storms that spiked disruptions over 12,000. FAA advisories flag only moderate wind impacts at Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), and Washington-area airports, plus isolated thunderstorms in Florida (MIA, FLL) and Chicago (ORD/MDW), pacing live counts at 2,602 delays so far. Ongoing partial government shutdown strains TSA checkpoints but hasn't escalated delays recently; intensification of forecasted weather, unexpected FAA ground stops, or surging passenger throughput could separate higher bins, while benign conditions favor sub-5,500 outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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