Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 tweet count market clusters tightly around 1200-1279 posts (17.1% implied probability), reflecting his consistent 35-40 daily posting pace amid viral cultural clashes on immigration, AI abundance like Universal High Income debates, and business updates on Tesla robotaxis and TSMC fabs. Early April saw peaks of 37-42 posts daily, while recent 3-day markets resolved in the expected 65-89 range, sustaining momentum without major dips. The close race with 1200-1239 (14.9%) and 1160-1199 (11.8%) hinges on late-month swings—potential spikes from SpaceX tests or Tesla earnings could push toward 1280+, but steady meme-sharing and replies keep lower bins viable as his X dominance drives unpredictable public engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1240-1279 17.0%
1200-1239 14.9%
1160-1199 11.8%
1280–1319 10.5%
$8,060,842 Объем
$8,060,842 Объем
540–559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600–619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
5%
1120–1159
11%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
15%
1240-1279
17%
1280–1319
11%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
5%
1400–1439
2%
1440-1479
2%
1480–1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560–1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1240-1279 17.0%
1200-1239 14.9%
1160-1199 11.8%
1280–1319 10.5%
$8,060,842 Объем
$8,060,842 Объем
540–559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600–619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
5%
1120–1159
11%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
15%
1240-1279
17%
1280–1319
11%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
5%
1400–1439
2%
1440-1479
2%
1480–1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560–1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 tweet count market clusters tightly around 1200-1279 posts (17.1% implied probability), reflecting his consistent 35-40 daily posting pace amid viral cultural clashes on immigration, AI abundance like Universal High Income debates, and business updates on Tesla robotaxis and TSMC fabs. Early April saw peaks of 37-42 posts daily, while recent 3-day markets resolved in the expected 65-89 range, sustaining momentum without major dips. The close race with 1200-1239 (14.9%) and 1160-1199 (11.8%) hinges on late-month swings—potential spikes from SpaceX tests or Tesla earnings could push toward 1280+, but steady meme-sharing and replies keep lower bins viable as his X dominance drives unpredictable public engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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