The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in mid-May 2026, with Amazon MGM Studios enlisting casting director Nina Gold and confirming the search is underway, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no actor being selected yet. This early-stage process, focused on identifying a fresh face to succeed Daniel Craig, keeps individual names like Harris Dickinson, Callum Turner, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Jacob Elordi at single-digit implied probabilities amid widespread speculation but zero confirmations. Historical patterns show Bond casting often stretches over months or years before resolution, and the studio’s statement that details will emerge only “when the time is right” reinforces the current market positioning ahead of any potential announcements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Бонд не выбран 88%
Харрис Диккинсон 4.5%
Кэллум Тернер 4.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.3%
$2,950,478 Объем
$2,950,478 Объем

Бонд не выбран
88%

Харрис Диккинсон
5%

Кэллум Тернер
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Джейкоб Элорди
2%

Генри Кавилл
1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Тео Джеймс
<1%

Джек Лоудон
<1%

Том Харди
<1%

Джеймс Нортон
<1%

Пол Мескал
<1%

Пирс Броснан
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%
Бонд не выбран 88%
Харрис Диккинсон 4.5%
Кэллум Тернер 4.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.3%
$2,950,478 Объем
$2,950,478 Объем

Бонд не выбран
88%

Харрис Диккинсон
5%

Кэллум Тернер
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Джейкоб Элорди
2%

Генри Кавилл
1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Тео Джеймс
<1%

Джек Лоудон
<1%

Том Харди
<1%

Джеймс Нортон
<1%

Пол Мескал
<1%

Пирс Броснан
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in mid-May 2026, with Amazon MGM Studios enlisting casting director Nina Gold and confirming the search is underway, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no actor being selected yet. This early-stage process, focused on identifying a fresh face to succeed Daniel Craig, keeps individual names like Harris Dickinson, Callum Turner, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Jacob Elordi at single-digit implied probabilities amid widespread speculation but zero confirmations. Historical patterns show Bond casting often stretches over months or years before resolution, and the studio’s statement that details will emerge only “when the time is right” reinforces the current market positioning ahead of any potential announcements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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