Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' and producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson's steadfast silence on casting for Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve with a 2028 release target. In the past 48 hours, unverified insider reports via Guardian columnist Marina Hyde positioned Jacob Elordi—who recently earned Oscar buzz for del Toro's Frankenstein—in "pole position" after meetings with the studio and director, elevating his market odds to 5.2% and closing the gap on prior frontrunner Callum Turner (5.6%), whose February whispers faded amid his evasive Berlin Film Festival response. Aaron Taylor-Johnson's earlier momentum lingers dimly at 2.1%, underscoring rumor-driven volatility; expect screen tests mid-2026 amid the franchise's secretive campaign tradition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Следующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Бонд не выбран 64%
Джейкоб Элорди 5.6%
Кэллум Тернер 5.6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.1%
$2,150,310 Объем
$2,150,310 Объем
Бонд не выбран
64%
Джейкоб Элорди
6%
Кэллум Тернер
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%
Харрис Диккинсон
1%
Том Харди
<1%
Тео Джеймс
<1%
Джеймс Нортон
<1%
Пол Мескал
<1%
Пирс Броснан
<1%
Том Холланд
<1%
Генри Кавилл
<1%
Джек Лоудон
<1%
Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
<1%
Бонд не выбран 64%
Джейкоб Элорди 5.6%
Кэллум Тернер 5.6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.1%
$2,150,310 Объем
$2,150,310 Объем
Бонд не выбран
64%
Джейкоб Элорди
6%
Кэллум Тернер
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%
Харрис Диккинсон
1%
Том Харди
<1%
Тео Джеймс
<1%
Джеймс Нортон
<1%
Пол Мескал
<1%
Пирс Броснан
<1%
Том Холланд
<1%
Генри Кавилл
<1%
Джек Лоудон
<1%
Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' and producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson's steadfast silence on casting for Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve with a 2028 release target. In the past 48 hours, unverified insider reports via Guardian columnist Marina Hyde positioned Jacob Elordi—who recently earned Oscar buzz for del Toro's Frankenstein—in "pole position" after meetings with the studio and director, elevating his market odds to 5.2% and closing the gap on prior frontrunner Callum Turner (5.6%), whose February whispers faded amid his evasive Berlin Film Festival response. Aaron Taylor-Johnson's earlier momentum lingers dimly at 2.1%, underscoring rumor-driven volatility; expect screen tests mid-2026 amid the franchise's secretive campaign tradition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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