The official confirmation in mid-May that Amazon MGM Studios has launched auditions for the next James Bond—with veteran casting director Nina Gold leading the search—has anchored trader consensus around “No Bond chosen” at 87.5%. The process remains in its earliest phase, with no shortlist finalized or announcement imminent despite rumors swirling around Harris Dickinson, Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson. Industry observers note the studio’s stated preference for a younger actor and openness to fresh faces, which has kept individual probabilities low while underscoring the high uncertainty typical of lengthy franchise recasts. Key upcoming catalysts include further casting updates expected later this year ahead of Denis Villeneuve’s Bond 26.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Бонд не выбран 88%
Харрис Диккинсон 4.7%
Кэллум Тернер 4.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.0%
$2,942,055 Объем
$2,942,055 Объем

Бонд не выбран
88%

Харрис Диккинсон
5%

Кэллум Тернер
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Джейкоб Элорди
2%

Генри Кавилл
1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Тео Джеймс
<1%

Джек Лоудон
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%

Пол Мескал
<1%

Том Харди
<1%

Джеймс Нортон
<1%

Пирс Броснан
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%
Бонд не выбран 88%
Харрис Диккинсон 4.7%
Кэллум Тернер 4.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.0%
$2,942,055 Объем
$2,942,055 Объем

Бонд не выбран
88%

Харрис Диккинсон
5%

Кэллум Тернер
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Джейкоб Элорди
2%

Генри Кавилл
1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Тео Джеймс
<1%

Джек Лоудон
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%

Пол Мескал
<1%

Том Харди
<1%

Джеймс Нортон
<1%

Пирс Броснан
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The official confirmation in mid-May that Amazon MGM Studios has launched auditions for the next James Bond—with veteran casting director Nina Gold leading the search—has anchored trader consensus around “No Bond chosen” at 87.5%. The process remains in its earliest phase, with no shortlist finalized or announcement imminent despite rumors swirling around Harris Dickinson, Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson. Industry observers note the studio’s stated preference for a younger actor and openness to fresh faces, which has kept individual probabilities low while underscoring the high uncertainty typical of lengthy franchise recasts. Key upcoming catalysts include further casting updates expected later this year ahead of Denis Villeneuve’s Bond 26.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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