Traders overwhelmingly back 75–76 million views on day 5 for MrBeast's latest high-production challenge video, with 90.4% implied probability reflecting his unmatched YouTube dominance—320 million subscribers, algorithm-fueled virality, and consistent historical performance averaging 74–77 million by this milestone across his past five uploads. Explosive first-24-hour hauls exceeding 50 million, amplified by cross-platform clips on TikTok and Instagram, sustain steady growth amid minimal competition. Strong consensus stems from predictable trajectory, but realistic upsets could arise from rare algorithm throttling, major competing events like NFL Sundays, or underwhelming thumbnail engagement dropping below 75 million; conversely, a surprise celebrity collab or trending sound might nudge into 76–77 million territory as the October 30 day-5 lock nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
75–76M 90.8%
76–77M 7%
<75M 2.1%
77–78M <1%
$473,561 Объем
$473,561 Объем
<75M
2%
75–76M
91%
76–77M
7%
77–78M
<1%
78–79M
<1%
79–80M
<1%
80M+
<1%
75–76M 90.8%
76–77M 7%
<75M 2.1%
77–78M <1%
$473,561 Объем
$473,561 Объем
<75M
2%
75–76M
91%
76–77M
7%
77–78M
<1%
78–79M
<1%
79–80M
<1%
80M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 75–76 million views on day 5 for MrBeast's latest high-production challenge video, with 90.4% implied probability reflecting his unmatched YouTube dominance—320 million subscribers, algorithm-fueled virality, and consistent historical performance averaging 74–77 million by this milestone across his past five uploads. Explosive first-24-hour hauls exceeding 50 million, amplified by cross-platform clips on TikTok and Instagram, sustain steady growth amid minimal competition. Strong consensus stems from predictable trajectory, but realistic upsets could arise from rare algorithm throttling, major competing events like NFL Sundays, or underwhelming thumbnail engagement dropping below 75 million; conversely, a surprise celebrity collab or trending sound might nudge into 76–77 million territory as the October 30 day-5 lock nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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