Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on felony controlled-substance possession, plus misdemeanor resisting-arrest and cannabis charges, initially raised the specter of several years in prison. However, prosecutors dropped the marijuana count and placed the streamer in a felony drug pre-trial diversion program, under which successful completion typically results in dismissed charges and no conviction. That agreement, combined with standard low-level outcomes for first-time non-violent offenders in the jurisdiction, underpins the 91% market-implied probability of no prison time. Realistic upset paths remain narrow and would require program violation, new arrests, or judicial rejection of the diversion—developments that have not materialized through mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВремя заключения Джека Доэрти?
Без тюремного заключения 91.1%
<2 лет 41.3%
5+ лет 2.0%
2-5 лет 1.3%
$22,710 Объем
$22,710 Объем
Без тюремного заключения
91%
<2 лет
41%
2-5 лет
1%
5+ лет
2%
Без тюремного заключения 91.1%
<2 лет 41.3%
5+ лет 2.0%
2-5 лет 1.3%
$22,710 Объем
$22,710 Объем
Без тюремного заключения
91%
<2 лет
41%
2-5 лет
1%
5+ лет
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on felony controlled-substance possession, plus misdemeanor resisting-arrest and cannabis charges, initially raised the specter of several years in prison. However, prosecutors dropped the marijuana count and placed the streamer in a felony drug pre-trial diversion program, under which successful completion typically results in dismissed charges and no conviction. That agreement, combined with standard low-level outcomes for first-time non-violent offenders in the jurisdiction, underpins the 91% market-implied probability of no prison time. Realistic upset paths remain narrow and would require program violation, new arrests, or judicial rejection of the diversion—developments that have not materialized through mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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