Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 92.3% implied probability to no prison time for Kick streamer and YouTuber Jack Doherty, rooted in the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a small quantity of cocaine (revealed at his January arraignment), misdemeanor cannabis under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. Florida courts typically divert first-time young offenders like the 23-year-old influencer to probation, drug court, fines, or pretrial intervention, avoiding jail, as evidenced by his quick $3,500 bond release and waived court appearance due to celebrity status. With no recent developments since January and uninterrupted streaming, the market reflects low incarceration risk. Realistic upsets hinge on a strict felony conviction, failed diversion conditions, or escalated hearings before the October 2026 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВремя заключения Джека Доэрти?
Время заключения Джека Доэрти?
Без тюремного заключения 92.3%
5+ лет 4.3%
<2 лет 3.5%
2-5 лет 2.9%
$14,635 Объем
$14,635 Объем
Без тюремного заключения
92%
<2 лет
3%
2-5 лет
3%
5+ лет
4%
Без тюремного заключения 92.3%
5+ лет 4.3%
<2 лет 3.5%
2-5 лет 2.9%
$14,635 Объем
$14,635 Объем
Без тюремного заключения
92%
<2 лет
3%
2-5 лет
3%
5+ лет
4%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 92.3% implied probability to no prison time for Kick streamer and YouTuber Jack Doherty, rooted in the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a small quantity of cocaine (revealed at his January arraignment), misdemeanor cannabis under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. Florida courts typically divert first-time young offenders like the 23-year-old influencer to probation, drug court, fines, or pretrial intervention, avoiding jail, as evidenced by his quick $3,500 bond release and waived court appearance due to celebrity status. With no recent developments since January and uninterrupted streaming, the market reflects low incarceration risk. Realistic upsets hinge on a strict felony conviction, failed diversion conditions, or escalated hearings before the October 2026 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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