Market icon

Время заключения Джека Доэрти?

Market icon

Время заключения Джека Доэрти?

Без тюремного заключения 92.3%

5+ лет 4.3%

<2 лет 3.5%

2-5 лет 2.9%

Polymarket

$14,635 Объем

Без тюремного заключения 92.3%

5+ лет 4.3%

<2 лет 3.5%

2-5 лет 2.9%

Polymarket

$14,635 Объем

Без тюремного заключения

$12,055 Объем

92%

<2 лет

$2,580 Объем

3%

2-5 лет

$0 Объем

3%

5+ лет

$0 Объем

4%

YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 92.3% implied probability to no prison time for Kick streamer and YouTuber Jack Doherty, rooted in the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a small quantity of cocaine (revealed at his January arraignment), misdemeanor cannabis under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. Florida courts typically divert first-time young offenders like the 23-year-old influencer to probation, drug court, fines, or pretrial intervention, avoiding jail, as evidenced by his quick $3,500 bond release and waived court appearance due to celebrity status. With no recent developments since January and uninterrupted streaming, the market reflects low incarceration risk. Realistic upsets hinge on a strict felony conviction, failed diversion conditions, or escalated hearings before the October 2026 resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 92.3% implied probability to no prison time for Kick streamer and YouTuber Jack Doherty, rooted in the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a small quantity of cocaine (revealed at his January arraignment), misdemeanor cannabis under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. Florida courts typically divert first-time young offenders like the 23-year-old influencer to probation, drug court, fines, or pretrial intervention, avoiding jail, as evidenced by his quick $3,500 bond release and waived court appearance due to celebrity status. With no recent developments since January and uninterrupted streaming, the market reflects low incarceration risk. Realistic upsets hinge on a strict felony conviction, failed diversion conditions, or escalated hearings before the October 2026 resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 92.3% implied probability to no prison time for Kick streamer and YouTuber Jack Doherty, rooted in the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a small quantity of cocaine (revealed at his January arraignment), misdemeanor cannabis under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. Florida courts typically divert first-time young offenders like the 23-year-old influencer to probation, drug court, fines, or pretrial intervention, avoiding jail, as evidenced by his quick $3,500 bond release and waived court appearance due to celebrity status. With no recent developments since January and uninterrupted streaming, the market reflects low incarceration risk. Realistic upsets hinge on a strict felony conviction, failed diversion conditions, or escalated hearings before the October 2026 resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers a commanding 92.3% implied probability to no prison time for Kick streamer and YouTuber Jack Doherty, rooted in the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a small quantity of cocaine (revealed at his January arraignment), misdemeanor cannabis under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. Florida courts typically divert first-time young offenders like the 23-year-old influencer to probation, drug court, fines, or pretrial intervention, avoiding jail, as evidenced by his quick $3,500 bond release and waived court appearance due to celebrity status. With no recent developments since January and uninterrupted streaming, the market reflects low incarceration risk. Realistic upsets hinge on a strict felony conviction, failed diversion conditions, or escalated hearings before the October 2026 resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Время заключения Джека Доэрти?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Без тюремного заключения» с 92%, за ним следует «<2 лет» с 4%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 92¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Время заключения Джека Доэрти?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $14.6K с момента запуска рынка Nov 20, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Время заключения Джека Доэрти?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Время заключения Джека Доэрти?» — «Без тюремного заключения» с 92%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<2 лет» с 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Время заключения Джека Доэрти?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.