Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 99.7% implied probability for "No" on a MrBeast video reaching 50 million first-day YouTube views by March 31, driven by his latest main channel upload, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" (March 22), which tallied just 36.3 million views in its first 24 hours—strong but below recent peaks of 30-40 million. No new videos have dropped in the past week amid focus on Beast Games Season 2 streaming promotions, with no announcements signaling an imminent blockbuster. Historical patterns show diminishing first-day virality despite massive total views, underscoring the high bar for this milestone. Realistic upsets include a surprise celebrity collab or algorithmic surge on a March 29 Saturday upload, though time constraints limit feasibility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено50 млн просмотров видео MrBeast в первый день до 31 марта?
50 млн просмотров видео MrBeast в первый день до 31 марта?
Да
$203,537 Объем
$203,537 Объем
Да
$203,537 Объем
$203,537 Объем
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 99.7% implied probability for "No" on a MrBeast video reaching 50 million first-day YouTube views by March 31, driven by his latest main channel upload, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" (March 22), which tallied just 36.3 million views in its first 24 hours—strong but below recent peaks of 30-40 million. No new videos have dropped in the past week amid focus on Beast Games Season 2 streaming promotions, with no announcements signaling an imminent blockbuster. Historical patterns show diminishing first-day virality despite massive total views, underscoring the high bar for this milestone. Realistic upsets include a surprise celebrity collab or algorithmic surge on a March 29 Saturday upload, though time constraints limit feasibility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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