In Slovenia's 22 March 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory with 28.63% of the vote and 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, one ahead of the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 27.95% and 28 seats, per official State Election Commission tallies. This razor-thin margin, confirmed amid 69% turnout, positions GS as the largest party and drives trader consensus at near-certainty for it as election winner. Golob launched coalition negotiations on 27 March toward a majority government, as no bloc reached the 46-seat threshold. Reversal scenarios remain remote, limited to a successful SDS legal challenge or recount overturning the certified results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Словении
Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении
$4,409,290 Объем
$4,409,290 Объем
Mar 22, 2026
Движение Свобода (ГС)
99%
Словенская демократическая партия (СДС)
1%
$4,409,290 Объем
$4,409,290 Объем
Mar 22, 2026
Движение Свобода (ГС)
$1,995,597 Объем
99%
Словенская демократическая партия (СДС)
$2,413,693 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.In Slovenia's 22 March 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory with 28.63% of the vote and 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, one ahead of the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 27.95% and 28 seats, per official State Election Commission tallies. This razor-thin margin, confirmed amid 69% turnout, positions GS as the largest party and drives trader consensus at near-certainty for it as election winner. Golob launched coalition negotiations on 27 March toward a majority government, as no bloc reached the 46-seat threshold. Reversal scenarios remain remote, limited to a successful SDS legal challenge or recount overturning the certified results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
Объем
$4,409,290Дата окончания
Mar 22, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.In Slovenia's 22 March 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory with 28.63% of the vote and 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, one ahead of the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 27.95% and 28 seats, per official State Election Commission tallies. This razor-thin margin, confirmed amid 69% turnout, positions GS as the largest party and drives trader consensus at near-certainty for it as election winner. Golob launched coalition negotiations on 27 March toward a majority government, as no bloc reached the 46-seat threshold. Reversal scenarios remain remote, limited to a successful SDS legal challenge or recount overturning the certified results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$4,409,290Дата окончания
Mar 22, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Slovenia's 22 March 2026 parliamentary election under proportional representation, Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory with 28.63% of the vote and 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, one ahead of the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 27.95% and 28 seats, per official State Election Commission tallies. This razor-thin margin, confirmed amid 69% turnout, positions GS as the largest party and drives trader consensus at near-certainty for it as election winner. Golob launched coalition negotiations on 27 March toward a majority government, as no bloc reached the 46-seat threshold. Reversal scenarios remain remote, limited to a successful SDS legal challenge or recount overturning the certified results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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