Russia and Ukraine have not held formal bilateral or trilateral peace talks since February 2026, when U.S.-mediated sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced only prisoner exchanges before stalling amid U.S.-Israeli operations against Iran. Russia continues to condition any negotiations on Ukrainian withdrawal from four eastern and southern regions plus permanent neutrality barring NATO membership, positions reiterated by Vladimir Putin in June statements referencing 2022 Istanbul terms. Ukraine seeks security guarantees, including potential European troop deployments or long-term Western commitments, without ceding sovereignty. Kremlin officials stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite Turkish offers to host. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, incremental Russian advances, and Ukrainian deep strikes have kept both sides focused on military pressure rather than diplomatic concessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$312,318 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
28%
31 декабря
62%
$312,318 Объем
30 сентября
$152,303 Объем
28%
31 декабря
$141,303 Объем
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia and Ukraine have not held formal bilateral or trilateral peace talks since February 2026, when U.S.-mediated sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced only prisoner exchanges before stalling amid U.S.-Israeli operations against Iran. Russia continues to condition any negotiations on Ukrainian withdrawal from four eastern and southern regions plus permanent neutrality barring NATO membership, positions reiterated by Vladimir Putin in June statements referencing 2022 Istanbul terms. Ukraine seeks security guarantees, including potential European troop deployments or long-term Western commitments, without ceding sovereignty. Kremlin officials stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite Turkish offers to host. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, incremental Russian advances, and Ukrainian deep strikes have kept both sides focused on military pressure rather than diplomatic concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Объем
$312,318Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia and Ukraine have not held formal bilateral or trilateral peace talks since February 2026, when U.S.-mediated sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced only prisoner exchanges before stalling amid U.S.-Israeli operations against Iran. Russia continues to condition any negotiations on Ukrainian withdrawal from four eastern and southern regions plus permanent neutrality barring NATO membership, positions reiterated by Vladimir Putin in June statements referencing 2022 Istanbul terms. Ukraine seeks security guarantees, including potential European troop deployments or long-term Western commitments, without ceding sovereignty. Kremlin officials stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite Turkish offers to host. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, incremental Russian advances, and Ukrainian deep strikes have kept both sides focused on military pressure rather than diplomatic concessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$312,318Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia and Ukraine have not held formal bilateral or trilateral peace talks since February 2026, when U.S.-mediated sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced only prisoner exchanges before stalling amid U.S.-Israeli operations against Iran. Russia continues to condition any negotiations on Ukrainian withdrawal from four eastern and southern regions plus permanent neutrality barring NATO membership, positions reiterated by Vladimir Putin in June statements referencing 2022 Istanbul terms. Ukraine seeks security guarantees, including potential European troop deployments or long-term Western commitments, without ceding sovereignty. Kremlin officials stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming talks despite Turkish offers to host. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, incremental Russian advances, and Ukrainian deep strikes have kept both sides focused on military pressure rather than diplomatic concessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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