The U.S. Supreme Court's February 20, 2026, ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, affirming the Court of International Trade's judgment in the consolidated V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States case, invalidated the Trump administration's broad tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), including the 10% "Liberation Day" levies on all imports and higher rates on select countries. This prompted a March 4 Court of International Trade order for refunds with interest, followed by the administration's April 20 launch of the CAPE claims portal and confirmed first payments to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection on May 6—directly fulfilling market resolution criteria and driving near-certain trader consensus on Yes. Though a May 12 federal appeals court stay temporarily paused a separate Court of International Trade ruling against subsequent Section 122 tariffs, realistic shifts remain limited to an improbable full appellate reversal clawing back issued IEEPA refunds before June 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$466,650 Объем
$466,650 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$466,650 Объем
$466,650 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
On May 28, 2025, the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that Donald Trump exceeded his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) by imposing a series of broad tariffs. The ruling blocked several major measures, including the “Liberation Day” tariffs—a 10% tariff on all imports and country-specific rates of up to 50%—as well as additional tariffs targeting Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods. The Trump administration has filed a single consolidated appeal of this decision, titled V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, both of the following occur:
1. The Trump administration’s appeal in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States is denied, in whole or in part
2. U.S. importers receive refunds of at least some tariffs invalidated by the May 28, 2025 ruling, where such refunds occur as a consequence of the denial, in whole or in part, of the Trump administration’s appeal.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements, court orders, or plans to issue refunds will not be sufficient for resolution unless actual refunds are issued within the market timeframe.
For purposes of this market, a “refund” includes direct payments, credits, or offsets issued to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection or the U.S. Treasury reflecting repayment of previously collected tariffs.
If the appeal is fully upheld and no refunds are issued, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official government or court information, or a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Supreme Court's February 20, 2026, ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, affirming the Court of International Trade's judgment in the consolidated V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States case, invalidated the Trump administration's broad tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), including the 10% "Liberation Day" levies on all imports and higher rates on select countries. This prompted a March 4 Court of International Trade order for refunds with interest, followed by the administration's April 20 launch of the CAPE claims portal and confirmed first payments to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection on May 6—directly fulfilling market resolution criteria and driving near-certain trader consensus on Yes. Though a May 12 federal appeals court stay temporarily paused a separate Court of International Trade ruling against subsequent Section 122 tariffs, realistic shifts remain limited to an improbable full appellate reversal clawing back issued IEEPA refunds before June 30.
On May 28, 2025, the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that Donald Trump exceeded his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) by imposing a series of broad tariffs. The ruling blocked several major measures, including the “Liberation Day” tariffs—a 10% tariff on all imports and country-specific rates of up to 50%—as well as additional tariffs targeting Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods. The Trump administration has filed a single consolidated appeal of this decision, titled V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, both of the following occur:
1. The Trump administration’s appeal in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States is denied, in whole or in part
2. U.S. importers receive refunds of at least some tariffs invalidated by the May 28, 2025 ruling, where such refunds occur as a consequence of the denial, in whole or in part, of the Trump administration’s appeal.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements, court orders, or plans to issue refunds will not be sufficient for resolution unless actual refunds are issued within the market timeframe.
For purposes of this market, a “refund” includes direct payments, credits, or offsets issued to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection or the U.S. Treasury reflecting repayment of previously collected tariffs.
If the appeal is fully upheld and no refunds are issued, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official government or court information, or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, both of the following occur:
1. The Trump administration’s appeal in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States is denied, in whole or in part
2. U.S. importers receive refunds of at least some tariffs invalidated by the May 28, 2025 ruling, where such refunds occur as a consequence of the denial, in whole or in part, of the Trump administration’s appeal.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements, court orders, or plans to issue refunds will not be sufficient for resolution unless actual refunds are issued within the market timeframe.
For purposes of this market, a “refund” includes direct payments, credits, or offsets issued to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection or the U.S. Treasury reflecting repayment of previously collected tariffs.
If the appeal is fully upheld and no refunds are issued, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official government or court information, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 11:01 PM ET
Объем
$466,650Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
On May 28, 2025, the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that Donald Trump exceeded his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) by imposing a series of broad tariffs. The ruling blocked several major measures, including the “Liberation Day” tariffs—a 10% tariff on all imports and country-specific rates of up to 50%—as well as additional tariffs targeting Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods. The Trump administration has filed a single consolidated appeal of this decision, titled V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, both of the following occur:
1. The Trump administration’s appeal in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States is denied, in whole or in part
2. U.S. importers receive refunds of at least some tariffs invalidated by the May 28, 2025 ruling, where such refunds occur as a consequence of the denial, in whole or in part, of the Trump administration’s appeal.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements, court orders, or plans to issue refunds will not be sufficient for resolution unless actual refunds are issued within the market timeframe.
For purposes of this market, a “refund” includes direct payments, credits, or offsets issued to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection or the U.S. Treasury reflecting repayment of previously collected tariffs.
If the appeal is fully upheld and no refunds are issued, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official government or court information, or a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Supreme Court's February 20, 2026, ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, affirming the Court of International Trade's judgment in the consolidated V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States case, invalidated the Trump administration's broad tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), including the 10% "Liberation Day" levies on all imports and higher rates on select countries. This prompted a March 4 Court of International Trade order for refunds with interest, followed by the administration's April 20 launch of the CAPE claims portal and confirmed first payments to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection on May 6—directly fulfilling market resolution criteria and driving near-certain trader consensus on Yes. Though a May 12 federal appeals court stay temporarily paused a separate Court of International Trade ruling against subsequent Section 122 tariffs, realistic shifts remain limited to an improbable full appellate reversal clawing back issued IEEPA refunds before June 30.
On May 28, 2025, the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that Donald Trump exceeded his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) by imposing a series of broad tariffs. The ruling blocked several major measures, including the “Liberation Day” tariffs—a 10% tariff on all imports and country-specific rates of up to 50%—as well as additional tariffs targeting Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods. The Trump administration has filed a single consolidated appeal of this decision, titled V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, both of the following occur:
1. The Trump administration’s appeal in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States is denied, in whole or in part
2. U.S. importers receive refunds of at least some tariffs invalidated by the May 28, 2025 ruling, where such refunds occur as a consequence of the denial, in whole or in part, of the Trump administration’s appeal.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements, court orders, or plans to issue refunds will not be sufficient for resolution unless actual refunds are issued within the market timeframe.
For purposes of this market, a “refund” includes direct payments, credits, or offsets issued to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection or the U.S. Treasury reflecting repayment of previously collected tariffs.
If the appeal is fully upheld and no refunds are issued, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official government or court information, or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, both of the following occur:
1. The Trump administration’s appeal in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States is denied, in whole or in part
2. U.S. importers receive refunds of at least some tariffs invalidated by the May 28, 2025 ruling, where such refunds occur as a consequence of the denial, in whole or in part, of the Trump administration’s appeal.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements, court orders, or plans to issue refunds will not be sufficient for resolution unless actual refunds are issued within the market timeframe.
For purposes of this market, a “refund” includes direct payments, credits, or offsets issued to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection or the U.S. Treasury reflecting repayment of previously collected tariffs.
If the appeal is fully upheld and no refunds are issued, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official government or court information, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$466,650Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
The U.S. Supreme Court's February 20, 2026, ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, affirming the Court of International Trade's judgment in the consolidated V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. United States case, invalidated the Trump administration's broad tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), including the 10% "Liberation Day" levies on all imports and higher rates on select countries. This prompted a March 4 Court of International Trade order for refunds with interest, followed by the administration's April 20 launch of the CAPE claims portal and confirmed first payments to importers by U.S. Customs and Border Protection on May 6—directly fulfilling market resolution criteria and driving near-certain trader consensus on Yes. Though a May 12 federal appeals court stay temporarily paused a separate Court of International Trade ruling against subsequent Section 122 tariffs, realistic shifts remain limited to an improbable full appellate reversal clawing back issued IEEPA refunds before June 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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