Lower court battles over whether sports event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket qualify as federally regulated swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act or illegal gaming under state laws continue to escalate, creating preconditions for potential Supreme Court certiorari. Key recent developments include Washington's lawsuit against Kalshi filed yesterday alleging unauthorized gambling, and a bipartisan Senate bill introduced last week by Sens. Schiff and Curtis to explicitly prohibit such contracts. A February 19 Tennessee district court preliminary injunction favored Kalshi on preemption grounds, contrasting other rulings, but no certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket. Traders should monitor circuit appeals and filing deadlines, as grant rates for conflicting cases exceed typical 1% levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоSCOTUS принимает контракт на спортивное мероприятие к...?
SCOTUS принимает контракт на спортивное мероприятие к...?
$924,694 Объем
Jul 31, 2026
31 июля
15%
31 декабря
60%
$924,694 Объем
31 июля
$924,694 Объем
15%
31 декабря
$0 Объем
60%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. Lower court battles over whether sports event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket qualify as federally regulated swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act or illegal gaming under state laws continue to escalate, creating preconditions for potential Supreme Court certiorari. Key recent developments include Washington's lawsuit against Kalshi filed yesterday alleging unauthorized gambling, and a bipartisan Senate bill introduced last week by Sens. Schiff and Curtis to explicitly prohibit such contracts. A February 19 Tennessee district court preliminary injunction favored Kalshi on preemption grounds, contrasting other rulings, but no certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket. Traders should monitor circuit appeals and filing deadlines, as grant rates for conflicting cases exceed typical 1% levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 16, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Объем
$924,694Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jul 16, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. Lower court battles over whether sports event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket qualify as federally regulated swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act or illegal gaming under state laws continue to escalate, creating preconditions for potential Supreme Court certiorari. Key recent developments include Washington's lawsuit against Kalshi filed yesterday alleging unauthorized gambling, and a bipartisan Senate bill introduced last week by Sens. Schiff and Curtis to explicitly prohibit such contracts. A February 19 Tennessee district court preliminary injunction favored Kalshi on preemption grounds, contrasting other rulings, but no certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket. Traders should monitor circuit appeals and filing deadlines, as grant rates for conflicting cases exceed typical 1% levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
Объем
$924,694Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jul 16, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Lower court battles over whether sports event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket qualify as federally regulated swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act or illegal gaming under state laws continue to escalate, creating preconditions for potential Supreme Court certiorari. Key recent developments include Washington's lawsuit against Kalshi filed yesterday alleging unauthorized gambling, and a bipartisan Senate bill introduced last week by Sens. Schiff and Curtis to explicitly prohibit such contracts. A February 19 Tennessee district court preliminary injunction favored Kalshi on preemption grounds, contrasting other rulings, but no certiorari petitions appear on the SCOTUS docket. Traders should monitor circuit appeals and filing deadlines, as grant rates for conflicting cases exceed typical 1% levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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