Traders' near-unanimous 97.1% consensus on "No" for charges against the ICE shooter by March 31 reflects the suspect's continued status at large, with no identification or arrest over two weeks after shots were fired at a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement facility in Los Angeles on March 16. FBI and local authorities released surveillance footage and offered a reward, but investigations have yielded no breakthroughs amid a thorough manhunt. This stalemate drives high confidence, as federal charging typically requires custody or strong evidence. A realistic upset would need an imminent arrest and rapid indictment, though time constraints before the deadline make it improbable per trader assessments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$574,266 Объем
$574,266 Объем
Да
$574,266 Объем
$574,266 Объем
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active ICE officer at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 8, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting, for any alleged crime relating to the shooting, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For a “Yes” resolution, the charged individual does not need to be an active ICE officer at the time the charges are made, as long as they were the shooter in the specified event.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' near-unanimous 97.1% consensus on "No" for charges against the ICE shooter by March 31 reflects the suspect's continued status at large, with no identification or arrest over two weeks after shots were fired at a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement facility in Los Angeles on March 16. FBI and local authorities released surveillance footage and offered a reward, but investigations have yielded no breakthroughs amid a thorough manhunt. This stalemate drives high confidence, as federal charging typically requires custody or strong evidence. A realistic upset would need an imminent arrest and rapid indictment, though time constraints before the deadline make it improbable per trader assessments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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