Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term” on the Supreme Court. This followed a late-June NPR report erroneously claiming his retirement, which the Court and Alito’s office immediately denied and which NPR later retracted. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2026 term and maintains a full complement. Earlier 2026 commentary had focused on timing a departure to allow a Republican president and Senate to confirm a successor before potential midterm shifts alter confirmation prospects. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any announcement likely tied to the end of a term. Trader odds reflect these statements and structural incentives around Senate majorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОбъявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
Объявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
$3,457,620 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 сентября
2%
31 декабря
6%
30 июня 2027 года
34%
$3,457,620 Объем
30 сентября
$994,347 Объем
2%
31 декабря
$814,342 Объем
6%
30 июня 2027 года
$47,267 Объем
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term” on the Supreme Court. This followed a late-June NPR report erroneously claiming his retirement, which the Court and Alito’s office immediately denied and which NPR later retracted. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2026 term and maintains a full complement. Earlier 2026 commentary had focused on timing a departure to allow a Republican president and Senate to confirm a successor before potential midterm shifts alter confirmation prospects. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any announcement likely tied to the end of a term. Trader odds reflect these statements and structural incentives around Senate majorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$3,457,620Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term” on the Supreme Court. This followed a late-June NPR report erroneously claiming his retirement, which the Court and Alito’s office immediately denied and which NPR later retracted. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2026 term and maintains a full complement. Earlier 2026 commentary had focused on timing a departure to allow a Republican president and Senate to confirm a successor before potential midterm shifts alter confirmation prospects. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any announcement likely tied to the end of a term. Trader odds reflect these statements and structural incentives around Senate majorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Объем
$3,457,620Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, directly addressed retirement speculation in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, stating he is “here for another term” on the Supreme Court. This followed a late-June NPR report erroneously claiming his retirement, which the Court and Alito’s office immediately denied and which NPR later retracted. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2026 term and maintains a full complement. Earlier 2026 commentary had focused on timing a departure to allow a Republican president and Senate to confirm a successor before potential midterm shifts alter confirmation prospects. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026 and runs through June or July 2027, with any announcement likely tied to the end of a term. Trader odds reflect these statements and structural incentives around Senate majorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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