President Trump's February 20 proclamation under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 imposed a temporary 10% ad valorem surcharge on most US imports, effective immediately after a Supreme Court ruling invalidated prior IEEPA-based tariffs, addressing international payments imbalances for up to 150 days through mid-July. This blanket tariff remains fully operational as of late March, with no intervening court injunctions, congressional overrides, or executive reversals altering its status, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its persistence through March 31 at noon. Legal challenges persist but lack imminent resolution timelines, while unlikely scenarios like abrupt White House withdrawal or fast-tracked judicial blocks could still shift outcomes before expiry.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$61,358 Объем
$61,358 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$61,358 Объем
$61,358 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.
“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.President Trump's February 20 proclamation under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 imposed a temporary 10% ad valorem surcharge on most US imports, effective immediately after a Supreme Court ruling invalidated prior IEEPA-based tariffs, addressing international payments imbalances for up to 150 days through mid-July. This blanket tariff remains fully operational as of late March, with no intervening court injunctions, congressional overrides, or executive reversals altering its status, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its persistence through March 31 at noon. Legal challenges persist but lack imminent resolution timelines, while unlikely scenarios like abrupt White House withdrawal or fast-tracked judicial blocks could still shift outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.
“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.
“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Объем
$61,358Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.
“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.President Trump's February 20 proclamation under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 imposed a temporary 10% ad valorem surcharge on most US imports, effective immediately after a Supreme Court ruling invalidated prior IEEPA-based tariffs, addressing international payments imbalances for up to 150 days through mid-July. This blanket tariff remains fully operational as of late March, with no intervening court injunctions, congressional overrides, or executive reversals altering its status, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its persistence through March 31 at noon. Legal challenges persist but lack imminent resolution timelines, while unlikely scenarios like abrupt White House withdrawal or fast-tracked judicial blocks could still shift outcomes before expiry.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general or blanket US tariff of 10% or more on imports into the United States is in effect on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.
“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
A general or blanket tariff is a tariff policy that applies a baseline tariff rate of 10% or greater to imports broadly, rather than being limited to a narrow set of products or countries. A tariff that includes item-specific, country-specific, or other limited exceptions will still qualify, as long as a baseline policy of a 10% or greater tariff on imports into the United States is in effect at the specified time.
“In effect" means the tariff must be operational in its application to US imports at the specified time. General or blanket tariffs which go into effect, but are then blocked, injuncted, repealed, or otherwise invalidated such that a blanket tariff rate of 10% or more is not being imposed on imports into the United States at this market’s resolution time will not count.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
Объем
$61,358Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's February 20 proclamation under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 imposed a temporary 10% ad valorem surcharge on most US imports, effective immediately after a Supreme Court ruling invalidated prior IEEPA-based tariffs, addressing international payments imbalances for up to 150 days through mid-July. This blanket tariff remains fully operational as of late March, with no intervening court injunctions, congressional overrides, or executive reversals altering its status, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its persistence through March 31 at noon. Legal challenges persist but lack imminent resolution timelines, while unlikely scenarios like abrupt White House withdrawal or fast-tracked judicial blocks could still shift outcomes before expiry.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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