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Политика·Бразилия

Любое бразильское правосудие STF было снято по импичменту до 2027 года?

Market icon
Политика·Бразилия

Любое бразильское правосудие STF было снято по импичменту до 2027 года?

Да

13% вероятность
Polymarket

$60,045 Объем

Да

13% вероятность
Polymarket

$60,045 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability that no Brazil STF justice will face successful impeachment removal before 2027, driven by steep procedural hurdles and institutional safeguards. Recent CPI do Crime Organizado reports from March-April 2026 recommended indicting justices like Alexandre de Moraes, Dias Toffoli, and Gilmar Mendes over the Banco Master scandal ties, prompting senator speeches demanding action—such as Cleitinho Azevedo's April 17 callout to Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, who responded "not yet." However, STF rulings, including Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 decision limiting impeachment requests to the PGR alone, have blocked Senate initiatives, while the Lula-aligned PGR shows no intent to pursue. Justice Luiz Fux's April 12 reversal in January 8 cases signals internal scrutiny but no momentum for removal amid divided Senate votes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$60,045
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability that no Brazil STF justice will face successful impeachment removal before 2027, driven by steep procedural hurdles and institutional safeguards. Recent CPI do Crime Organizado reports from March-April 2026 recommended indicting justices like Alexandre de Moraes, Dias Toffoli, and Gilmar Mendes over the Banco Master scandal ties, prompting senator speeches demanding action—such as Cleitinho Azevedo's April 17 callout to Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, who responded "not yet." However, STF rulings, including Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 decision limiting impeachment requests to the PGR alone, have blocked Senate initiatives, while the Lula-aligned PGR shows no intent to pursue. Justice Luiz Fux's April 12 reversal in January 8 cases signals internal scrutiny but no momentum for removal amid divided Senate votes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$60,045
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Любое бразильское правосудие STF было снято по импичменту до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Кто-либо из судей Верховного федерального суда Бразилии был отстранён посредством импичмента до 2027 года?» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 13¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Любое бразильское правосудие STF было снято по импичменту до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $60K с момента запуска рынка Jan 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Любое бразильское правосудие STF было снято по импичменту до 2027 года?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Любое бразильское правосудие STF было снято по импичменту до 2027 года?» — «Кто-либо из судей Верховного федерального суда Бразилии был отстранён посредством импичмента до 2027 года?» с 13%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Любое бразильское правосудие STF было снято по импичменту до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.