Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to initiate and approve impeachment of STF justices, requiring supermajority thresholds and procedural steps that have never produced a removal in the court’s history. Recent congressional inquiries, including an April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against justices linked to the Banco Master case, have generated headlines and opposition filings, yet face entrenched institutional resistance, Senate leadership pushback on procedural limits, and the need for cross-party consensus. With general elections scheduled for October 2026, any potential majority shift would still confront confirmation timelines, internal court challenges, and calendar constraints before year-end. Traders price near-certain continuity because these structural and political barriers have consistently shielded the bench despite recurring scandals. Late-session legislative maneuvers or unforeseen evidence surges after the vote remain the narrow pathways that could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$81,655 Объем
$81,655 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$81,655 Объем
$81,655 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to initiate and approve impeachment of STF justices, requiring supermajority thresholds and procedural steps that have never produced a removal in the court’s history. Recent congressional inquiries, including an April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against justices linked to the Banco Master case, have generated headlines and opposition filings, yet face entrenched institutional resistance, Senate leadership pushback on procedural limits, and the need for cross-party consensus. With general elections scheduled for October 2026, any potential majority shift would still confront confirmation timelines, internal court challenges, and calendar constraints before year-end. Traders price near-certain continuity because these structural and political barriers have consistently shielded the bench despite recurring scandals. Late-session legislative maneuvers or unforeseen evidence surges after the vote remain the narrow pathways that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Объем
$81,655Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to initiate and approve impeachment of STF justices, requiring supermajority thresholds and procedural steps that have never produced a removal in the court’s history. Recent congressional inquiries, including an April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against justices linked to the Banco Master case, have generated headlines and opposition filings, yet face entrenched institutional resistance, Senate leadership pushback on procedural limits, and the need for cross-party consensus. With general elections scheduled for October 2026, any potential majority shift would still confront confirmation timelines, internal court challenges, and calendar constraints before year-end. Traders price near-certain continuity because these structural and political barriers have consistently shielded the bench despite recurring scandals. Late-session legislative maneuvers or unforeseen evidence surges after the vote remain the narrow pathways that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$81,655Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to initiate and approve impeachment of STF justices, requiring supermajority thresholds and procedural steps that have never produced a removal in the court’s history. Recent congressional inquiries, including an April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against justices linked to the Banco Master case, have generated headlines and opposition filings, yet face entrenched institutional resistance, Senate leadership pushback on procedural limits, and the need for cross-party consensus. With general elections scheduled for October 2026, any potential majority shift would still confront confirmation timelines, internal court challenges, and calendar constraints before year-end. Traders price near-certain continuity because these structural and political barriers have consistently shielded the bench despite recurring scandals. Late-session legislative maneuvers or unforeseen evidence surges after the vote remain the narrow pathways that could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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