Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 25%, with 45+ (17.5%) and mid-range bins (15-39 ships) tightly clustered around 15-17.5%, reflecting steady but subdued flows amid regional tensions. US airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen on March 15-16 escalated fears of Iranian retaliation or proxy disruptions at this critical oil chokepoint, prompting some shippers to delay voyages despite no direct Hormuz blockades. Nowruz holidays across Gulf states through late March further dampened commercial activity, aligning with recent AIS-tracked daily averages of 3-4 vessels. Normalization post-holiday or new de-escalation signals could boost toward 45+, while fresh threats or seizures might drive counts below 15.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
20-24 24%
15-19 18%
45+ 18%
35-39 15%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
<10
3%
10-14
8%
15-19
18%
20-24
24%
25-29
13%
30-34
15%
35-39
15%
40-44
13%
45+
18%
20-24 24%
15-19 18%
45+ 18%
35-39 15%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
<10
$1,290 Объем
3%
10-14
$271 Объем
8%
15-19
$243 Объем
18%
20-24
$173 Объем
24%
25-29
$165 Объем
13%
30-34
$173 Объем
15%
35-39
$163 Объем
15%
40-44
$243 Объем
13%
45+
$770 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 25%, with 45+ (17.5%) and mid-range bins (15-39 ships) tightly clustered around 15-17.5%, reflecting steady but subdued flows amid regional tensions. US airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen on March 15-16 escalated fears of Iranian retaliation or proxy disruptions at this critical oil chokepoint, prompting some shippers to delay voyages despite no direct Hormuz blockades. Nowruz holidays across Gulf states through late March further dampened commercial activity, aligning with recent AIS-tracked daily averages of 3-4 vessels. Normalization post-holiday or new de-escalation signals could boost toward 45+, while fresh threats or seizures might drive counts below 15.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Объем
$3,239Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 25%, with 45+ (17.5%) and mid-range bins (15-39 ships) tightly clustered around 15-17.5%, reflecting steady but subdued flows amid regional tensions. US airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen on March 15-16 escalated fears of Iranian retaliation or proxy disruptions at this critical oil chokepoint, prompting some shippers to delay voyages despite no direct Hormuz blockades. Nowruz holidays across Gulf states through late March further dampened commercial activity, aligning with recent AIS-tracked daily averages of 3-4 vessels. Normalization post-holiday or new de-escalation signals could boost toward 45+, while fresh threats or seizures might drive counts below 15.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Объем
$3,239Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 25%, with 45+ (17.5%) and mid-range bins (15-39 ships) tightly clustered around 15-17.5%, reflecting steady but subdued flows amid regional tensions. US airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen on March 15-16 escalated fears of Iranian retaliation or proxy disruptions at this critical oil chokepoint, prompting some shippers to delay voyages despite no direct Hormuz blockades. Nowruz holidays across Gulf states through late March further dampened commercial activity, aligning with recent AIS-tracked daily averages of 3-4 vessels. Normalization post-holiday or new de-escalation signals could boost toward 45+, while fresh threats or seizures might drive counts below 15.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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