Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear talks amid US-Israeli airstrikes that have degraded Iranian facilities since late February. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demanded no enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium, but Tehran shows no signs of acceptance, as confirmed by recent IAEA reports unable to verify suspension of activities or access to sites like Isfahan. Pre-attack concessions reported by Oman mediators—such as zero stockpiling—collapsed after strikes, leaving diplomacy frozen with Oman-proposed truces pending and Netanyahu claiming Iran's program is crippled, yet no formal deal materializes before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 30 апреля?
Иран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 30 апреля?
Да
$132,723 Объем
$132,723 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
Да
$132,723 Объем
$132,723 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear talks amid US-Israeli airstrikes that have degraded Iranian facilities since late February. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demanded no enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium, but Tehran shows no signs of acceptance, as confirmed by recent IAEA reports unable to verify suspension of activities or access to sites like Isfahan. Pre-attack concessions reported by Oman mediators—such as zero stockpiling—collapsed after strikes, leaving diplomacy frozen with Oman-proposed truces pending and Netanyahu claiming Iran's program is crippled, yet no formal deal materializes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Объем
$132,723Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear talks amid US-Israeli airstrikes that have degraded Iranian facilities since late February. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demanded no enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium, but Tehran shows no signs of acceptance, as confirmed by recent IAEA reports unable to verify suspension of activities or access to sites like Isfahan. Pre-attack concessions reported by Oman mediators—such as zero stockpiling—collapsed after strikes, leaving diplomacy frozen with Oman-proposed truces pending and Netanyahu claiming Iran's program is crippled, yet no formal deal materializes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$132,723Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear talks amid US-Israeli airstrikes that have degraded Iranian facilities since late February. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demanded no enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium, but Tehran shows no signs of acceptance, as confirmed by recent IAEA reports unable to verify suspension of activities or access to sites like Isfahan. Pre-attack concessions reported by Oman mediators—such as zero stockpiling—collapsed after strikes, leaving diplomacy frozen with Oman-proposed truces pending and Netanyahu claiming Iran's program is crippled, yet no formal deal materializes before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы