Trader consensus on Polymarket implies 22–25 Republican governors post-2026 midterms (top outcomes at 39% for 24–25 and 31% for 22–23), reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party from the current 27 GOP-held seats amid uncertainty over the 2024 presidential winner. With 36 races total, including 20 Republican defenses, incumbency advantages in safe red states like Idaho and South Dakota offset vulnerabilities in battlegrounds such as Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, and Georgia, where early polling shows tight contests and Democratic opportunities from term-limited incumbents like Florida's Ron DeSantis and Missouri's Mike Parson. No major shifts in the past 30 days; separation could come from 2024 election results, further retirements, or 2025 primary outcomes altering battleground dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСколько республиканских губернаторов после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
Сколько республиканских губернаторов после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
24–25 39%
22–23 38%
<22 15%
26–27 9%
$10,887 Объем
$10,887 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
<22
15%
22–23
31%
24–25
39%
26–27
9%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
3%
24–25 39%
22–23 38%
<22 15%
26–27 9%
$10,887 Объем
$10,887 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
<22
$0 Объем
15%
22–23
$0 Объем
31%
24–25
$0 Объем
39%
26–27
$0 Объем
9%
28–29
$0 Объем
5%
30–31
$0 Объем
1%
32+
$10,887 Объем
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies 22–25 Republican governors post-2026 midterms (top outcomes at 39% for 24–25 and 31% for 22–23), reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party from the current 27 GOP-held seats amid uncertainty over the 2024 presidential winner. With 36 races total, including 20 Republican defenses, incumbency advantages in safe red states like Idaho and South Dakota offset vulnerabilities in battlegrounds such as Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, and Georgia, where early polling shows tight contests and Democratic opportunities from term-limited incumbents like Florida's Ron DeSantis and Missouri's Mike Parson. No major shifts in the past 30 days; separation could come from 2024 election results, further retirements, or 2025 primary outcomes altering battleground dynamics.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Объем
$10,887Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies 22–25 Republican governors post-2026 midterms (top outcomes at 39% for 24–25 and 31% for 22–23), reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party from the current 27 GOP-held seats amid uncertainty over the 2024 presidential winner. With 36 races total, including 20 Republican defenses, incumbency advantages in safe red states like Idaho and South Dakota offset vulnerabilities in battlegrounds such as Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, and Georgia, where early polling shows tight contests and Democratic opportunities from term-limited incumbents like Florida's Ron DeSantis and Missouri's Mike Parson. No major shifts in the past 30 days; separation could come from 2024 election results, further retirements, or 2025 primary outcomes altering battleground dynamics.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$10,887Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies 22–25 Republican governors post-2026 midterms (top outcomes at 39% for 24–25 and 31% for 22–23), reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party from the current 27 GOP-held seats amid uncertainty over the 2024 presidential winner. With 36 races total, including 20 Republican defenses, incumbency advantages in safe red states like Idaho and South Dakota offset vulnerabilities in battlegrounds such as Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, and Georgia, where early polling shows tight contests and Democratic opportunities from term-limited incumbents like Florida's Ron DeSantis and Missouri's Mike Parson. No major shifts in the past 30 days; separation could come from 2024 election results, further retirements, or 2025 primary outcomes altering battleground dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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