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icon for США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?

США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?

icon for США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?

США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?

$21,392,137 Объем

16 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$21,392,137 Объем

Polymarket

15 июня

$20,219,694 Объем

Да

22 июня

$470,802 Объем

Да

30 июня

$486,285 Объем

Да

31 июля

$215,356 Объем

Да

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$21,392,137
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Да

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$21,392,137
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «15 июня» с 100%, за ним следует «22 июня» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.4 million с момента запуска рынка Jun 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?» — «15 июня» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «22 июня» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «США и Иран подписывают соглашение...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.