Vladimir Putin's secure hold on power, backed by constitutional changes extending his current six-year term through May 2030 with no intervening elections, drives the 89.5% trader consensus that he will remain Russian president by year-end 2026. Recent public actions, including his April 2026 order for an Orthodox Easter ceasefire in Ukraine and government meetings on fuel sector development as late as April 9, underscore his active leadership amid stable high approval ratings. Absent verified health crises, coup attempts, or elite defections—despite occasional unconfirmed rumors like March coughing videos—no major catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest early resignation or removal, though sudden escalations in the Ukraine conflict or internal pressures could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$3,667,023 Vol.
$3,667,023 Vol.
$3,667,023 Vol.
$3,667,023 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's secure hold on power, backed by constitutional changes extending his current six-year term through May 2030 with no intervening elections, drives the 89.5% trader consensus that he will remain Russian president by year-end 2026. Recent public actions, including his April 2026 order for an Orthodox Easter ceasefire in Ukraine and government meetings on fuel sector development as late as April 9, underscore his active leadership amid stable high approval ratings. Absent verified health crises, coup attempts, or elite defections—despite occasional unconfirmed rumors like March coughing videos—no major catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest early resignation or removal, though sudden escalations in the Ukraine conflict or internal pressures could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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