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Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

Market icon

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

11% chance
Polymarket

$2,455,708 Vol.

11% chance
Polymarket

$2,455,708 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between July 6, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,455,708
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between July 6, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between July 6, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,455,708
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between July 6, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 11% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 11¢, the market collectively assigns a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?" is 11% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.