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icon for Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Geopolitics·Putin

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

icon for Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Geopolitics·Putin

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Jul 1, 2027

Jul 1, 2027

$23,730,432 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
Polymarket

$23,730,432 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$1,206,115 Vol.

1%

December 31, 2026

$20,738,063 Vol.

7%

June 30, 2027

$432,301 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia's political system through extended constitutional term limits allowing service until 2036, loyal security and military elites, and managed parliamentary elections that reinforce United Russia dominance. Recent developments include his September 2026 meetings with U.S. envoys on Ukraine talks, participation in the BRICS summit in India, and continued battlefield operations alongside warnings against European troop deployments. Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure have created fuel shortages but have not sparked visible elite challenges or mobilization unrest that would threaten his position. State Duma elections this month and ongoing diplomatic engagement further anchor trader consensus on low near-term removal risk, with any shift hinging on abrupt health events, major military setbacks, or internal elite fractures not evident in current reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,730,432
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Putin maintains firm control over Russia's political system through extended constitutional term limits allowing service until 2036, loyal security and military elites, and managed parliamentary elections that reinforce United Russia dominance. Recent developments include his September 2026 meetings with U.S. envoys on Ukraine talks, participation in the BRICS summit in India, and continued battlefield operations alongside warnings against European troop deployments. Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure have created fuel shortages but have not sparked visible elite challenges or mobilization unrest that would threaten his position. State Duma elections this month and ongoing diplomatic engagement further anchor trader consensus on low near-term removal risk, with any shift hinging on abrupt health events, major military setbacks, or internal elite fractures not evident in current reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,730,432
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Putin out as President of Russia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2027" at 13%, followed by "December 31, 2026" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Putin out as President of Russia by...?" has generated $23.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Putin out as President of Russia by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Putin out as President of Russia by...?" is "June 30, 2027" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Putin out as President of Russia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.