Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Name: Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
Start: 2026-01-04T18:59:18.860Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...? — Discussion

gojomojo · 2026-01-04T18:59:18.860Z

Discussion about Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Geopolitics·Venezuela

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

$118,067 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

June 30

$118,067 Vol.

December 31

$0 Vol.

94%

$118,067 Vol.

June 30

$118,067 Vol.

December 31

$0 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Volume

$118,067

End Date

Jun 30, 2026

Market Opened

Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Colombian President Gustavo Petro, in office since 2022 with a term ending in 2026, faces trader scrutiny over potential early exit via resignation, impeachment by Congress, or incapacity. Recent congressional rejections of his health, pension, and labor reforms—capped by the October passage of a contentious 2025 budget after delays—have deepened gridlock with his fragile coalition in the Senate and House. A June guilty plea by son Nicolás Petro to money laundering charges lingers as opposition ammunition, alongside stalled ELN peace talks and low approval near 30%. No impeachment proceedings have materialized despite calls, given high constitutional thresholds. December fiscal deadlines and potential no-confidence votes against ministers could intensify pressures.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 AM UTC

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

70%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

12%

Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

84%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 94%, followed by "June 30" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" has generated $118.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" is "December 31" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $118.1K traded on “Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 94¢ for "December 31" in the "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 94% chance that "December 31" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 94¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 6¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" market has an active community of 16 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (16)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?"?

What are the current odds for "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?"?

How will "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?"?

What does a price of 94¢ for "December 31" mean?

When does the "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?"?

What is Polymarket?