Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), reflecting stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and recent diplomatic tensions. Following their August 2025 Alaska summit and a collapsed October Budapest plan over disagreements on freezing front lines, President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow last week for indirect talks, bypassing an in-person venue amid Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran on U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East, as highlighted by Zelenskyy on March 28. Absent official announcements or breakthroughs, geopolitical frictions—including sanctions debates and NATO strains—diminish near-term summit prospects, positioning Gulf countries (5.5%) as a distant neutral-ground alternative based on regional diplomacy precedents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 83.0%
Gulf country 5.5%
Other EU country 3.0%
Russia 2.1%
$4,195,582 Vol.
$4,195,582 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
83%
Gulf country
5%
Other EU country
3%
Russia
2%
United States
1%
Other
1%
China
1%
Turkey
1%
Belarus
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Finland
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by June 30 83.0%
Gulf country 5.5%
Other EU country 3.0%
Russia 2.1%
$4,195,582 Vol.
$4,195,582 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
$760,066 Vol.
83%
Gulf country
$188,792 Vol.
5%
Other EU country
$639,497 Vol.
3%
Russia
$613,575 Vol.
2%
United States
$170,066 Vol.
1%
Other
$380,990 Vol.
1%
China
$264,044 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$312,233 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$243,152 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$130,960 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$105,829 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$65,565 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$127,227 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$113,830 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$79,757 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), reflecting stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and recent diplomatic tensions. Following their August 2025 Alaska summit and a collapsed October Budapest plan over disagreements on freezing front lines, President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow last week for indirect talks, bypassing an in-person venue amid Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran on U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East, as highlighted by Zelenskyy on March 28. Absent official announcements or breakthroughs, geopolitical frictions—including sanctions debates and NATO strains—diminish near-term summit prospects, positioning Gulf countries (5.5%) as a distant neutral-ground alternative based on regional diplomacy precedents.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$4,195,582End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), reflecting stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and recent diplomatic tensions. Following their August 2025 Alaska summit and a collapsed October Budapest plan over disagreements on freezing front lines, President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow last week for indirect talks, bypassing an in-person venue amid Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran on U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East, as highlighted by Zelenskyy on March 28. Absent official announcements or breakthroughs, geopolitical frictions—including sanctions debates and NATO strains—diminish near-term summit prospects, positioning Gulf countries (5.5%) as a distant neutral-ground alternative based on regional diplomacy precedents.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,195,582End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), reflecting stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and recent diplomatic tensions. Following their August 2025 Alaska summit and a collapsed October Budapest plan over disagreements on freezing front lines, President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow last week for indirect talks, bypassing an in-person venue amid Russia's alleged intelligence sharing with Iran on U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East, as highlighted by Zelenskyy on March 28. Absent official announcements or breakthroughs, geopolitical frictions—including sanctions debates and NATO strains—diminish near-term summit prospects, positioning Gulf countries (5.5%) as a distant neutral-ground alternative based on regional diplomacy precedents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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