Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83.2%) due to the absence of any announced in-person summit plans amid stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and heightened geopolitical tensions. Recent phone calls between the leaders—such as early March discussions on Iran tensions and Ukraine—have advanced diplomacy at a distance, with Trump dispatching envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow around early April to pursue a settlement, but no face-to-face agenda has materialized. Zelenskyy's March 28 accusations of Russian satellite imaging of U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East for Iran have amplified frictions, complicating near-term summits. Low odds on specific venues reflect past sites like 2025's Alaska gathering and unfulfilled Hungary proposals, with traders pricing in slim chances absent breakthroughs in sanctions relief or ceasefire talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 83.1%
Other EU country 4.4%
Gulf country 4.0%
United States 1.8%
$4,294,040 Vol.
$4,294,040 Vol.
No meeting by June 30
83%
Other EU country
4%
Gulf country
4%
United States
2%
Other
1%
China
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Belarus
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Finland
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Australia
<1%
South Korea
<1%
No meeting by June 30 83.1%
Other EU country 4.4%
Gulf country 4.0%
United States 1.8%
$4,294,040 Vol.
$4,294,040 Vol.
No meeting by June 30
83%
Other EU country
4%
Gulf country
4%
United States
2%
Other
1%
China
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Belarus
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Finland
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Australia
<1%
South Korea
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83.2%) due to the absence of any announced in-person summit plans amid stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and heightened geopolitical tensions. Recent phone calls between the leaders—such as early March discussions on Iran tensions and Ukraine—have advanced diplomacy at a distance, with Trump dispatching envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow around early April to pursue a settlement, but no face-to-face agenda has materialized. Zelenskyy's March 28 accusations of Russian satellite imaging of U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East for Iran have amplified frictions, complicating near-term summits. Low odds on specific venues reflect past sites like 2025's Alaska gathering and unfulfilled Hungary proposals, with traders pricing in slim chances absent breakthroughs in sanctions relief or ceasefire talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions