With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% "Yes," reflecting House Republican leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension amid intelligence community testimony from FBI Director Kash Patel and CIA Director John Ratcliffe deeming it indispensable for national security. Bipartisan opposition, including the March 13 Government Surveillance Reform Act by Reps. Lofgren and Davidson and Sens. Wyden and Lee—mandating warrants for backdoor searches of Americans' data—creates competitive balance, echoing 2024's narrow passage. President Trump's recent endorsement bolsters Yes odds, but potential House defections, linkage to the SAVE Act, or Senate demands for reforms could tip probabilities either way ahead of the mid-April floor vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% "Yes," reflecting House Republican leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension amid intelligence community testimony from FBI Director Kash Patel and CIA Director John Ratcliffe deeming it indispensable for national security. Bipartisan opposition, including the March 13 Government Surveillance Reform Act by Reps. Lofgren and Davidson and Sens. Wyden and Lee—mandating warrants for backdoor searches of Americans' data—creates competitive balance, echoing 2024's narrow passage. President Trump's recent endorsement bolsters Yes odds, but potential House defections, linkage to the SAVE Act, or Senate demands for reforms could tip probabilities either way ahead of the mid-April floor vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$88End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% "Yes," reflecting House Republican leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension amid intelligence community testimony from FBI Director Kash Patel and CIA Director John Ratcliffe deeming it indispensable for national security. Bipartisan opposition, including the March 13 Government Surveillance Reform Act by Reps. Lofgren and Davidson and Sens. Wyden and Lee—mandating warrants for backdoor searches of Americans' data—creates competitive balance, echoing 2024's narrow passage. President Trump's recent endorsement bolsters Yes odds, but potential House defections, linkage to the SAVE Act, or Senate demands for reforms could tip probabilities either way ahead of the mid-April floor vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$88End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 52% "Yes," reflecting House Republican leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension amid intelligence community testimony from FBI Director Kash Patel and CIA Director John Ratcliffe deeming it indispensable for national security. Bipartisan opposition, including the March 13 Government Surveillance Reform Act by Reps. Lofgren and Davidson and Sens. Wyden and Lee—mandating warrants for backdoor searches of Americans' data—creates competitive balance, echoing 2024's narrow passage. President Trump's recent endorsement bolsters Yes odds, but potential House defections, linkage to the SAVE Act, or Senate demands for reforms could tip probabilities either way ahead of the mid-April floor vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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