Congressional passage of a 45-day extension on April 30 keeps FISA Section 702 authorities active until mid-June, following the House's 235-191 approval of a multi-year reauthorization bill days earlier, fueling trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before expiration. Bipartisan intelligence leaders, including House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection amid ongoing global threats, overriding privacy advocates' calls for warrant requirements on U.S. person queries despite documented FBI compliance issues. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals via continuing resolutions or omnibus packages underpin high confidence, though a Senate filibuster hold, major abuse scandal, or procedural deadlock could still force a lapse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,593 Vol.
$40,593 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,593 Vol.
$40,593 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 45-day extension on April 30 keeps FISA Section 702 authorities active until mid-June, following the House's 235-191 approval of a multi-year reauthorization bill days earlier, fueling trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before expiration. Bipartisan intelligence leaders, including House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection amid ongoing global threats, overriding privacy advocates' calls for warrant requirements on U.S. person queries despite documented FBI compliance issues. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals via continuing resolutions or omnibus packages underpin high confidence, though a Senate filibuster hold, major abuse scandal, or procedural deadlock could still force a lapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$40,593End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 45-day extension on April 30 keeps FISA Section 702 authorities active until mid-June, following the House's 235-191 approval of a multi-year reauthorization bill days earlier, fueling trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before expiration. Bipartisan intelligence leaders, including House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection amid ongoing global threats, overriding privacy advocates' calls for warrant requirements on U.S. person queries despite documented FBI compliance issues. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals via continuing resolutions or omnibus packages underpin high confidence, though a Senate filibuster hold, major abuse scandal, or procedural deadlock could still force a lapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,593End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional passage of a 45-day extension on April 30 keeps FISA Section 702 authorities active until mid-June, following the House's 235-191 approval of a multi-year reauthorization bill days earlier, fueling trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before expiration. Bipartisan intelligence leaders, including House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in foreign intelligence collection amid ongoing global threats, overriding privacy advocates' calls for warrant requirements on U.S. person queries despite documented FBI compliance issues. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals via continuing resolutions or omnibus packages underpin high confidence, though a Senate filibuster hold, major abuse scandal, or procedural deadlock could still force a lapse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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