**Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican House majority marked by recurring internal divisions.** Hardline conservatives have repeatedly disrupted floor proceedings, forcing delays on appropriations, defense policy, farm legislation, and immigration measures, while Johnson has navigated these tensions through procedural concessions and calendar adjustments. In mid-September 2026, he adjourned the House early, postponing a vote on articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. GOP frustrations center on unfulfilled promises and the challenges of governing with minimal margin for defections. Johnson’s position is closely tied to midterm outcomes in November 2026; a Republican loss would likely end his speakership in the new Congress, while retention would allow him to seek reelection to the role. Traders currently assign low probability to removal before year-end, reflecting the absence of an active motion to vacate and the short timeline before elections determine the majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$118,333 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30, 2026
1%
December 31, 2026
10%
$118,333 Vol.
September 30, 2026
$1,336 Vol.
1%
December 31, 2026
$4,318 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican House majority marked by recurring internal divisions.** Hardline conservatives have repeatedly disrupted floor proceedings, forcing delays on appropriations, defense policy, farm legislation, and immigration measures, while Johnson has navigated these tensions through procedural concessions and calendar adjustments. In mid-September 2026, he adjourned the House early, postponing a vote on articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
GOP frustrations center on unfulfilled promises and the challenges of governing with minimal margin for defections. Johnson’s position is closely tied to midterm outcomes in November 2026; a Republican loss would likely end his speakership in the new Congress, while retention would allow him to seek reelection to the role. Traders currently assign low probability to removal before year-end, reflecting the absence of an active motion to vacate and the short timeline before elections determine the majority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$118,333End Date
Apr 10, 2027Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican House majority marked by recurring internal divisions.** Hardline conservatives have repeatedly disrupted floor proceedings, forcing delays on appropriations, defense policy, farm legislation, and immigration measures, while Johnson has navigated these tensions through procedural concessions and calendar adjustments. In mid-September 2026, he adjourned the House early, postponing a vote on articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
GOP frustrations center on unfulfilled promises and the challenges of governing with minimal margin for defections. Johnson’s position is closely tied to midterm outcomes in November 2026; a Republican loss would likely end his speakership in the new Congress, while retention would allow him to seek reelection to the role. Traders currently assign low probability to removal before year-end, reflecting the absence of an active motion to vacate and the short timeline before elections determine the majority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$118,333End Date
Apr 10, 2027Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...**Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrow Republican House majority marked by recurring internal divisions.** Hardline conservatives have repeatedly disrupted floor proceedings, forcing delays on appropriations, defense policy, farm legislation, and immigration measures, while Johnson has navigated these tensions through procedural concessions and calendar adjustments. In mid-September 2026, he adjourned the House early, postponing a vote on articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. GOP frustrations center on unfulfilled promises and the challenges of governing with minimal margin for defections. Johnson’s position is closely tied to midterm outcomes in November 2026; a Republican loss would likely end his speakership in the new Congress, while retention would allow him to seek reelection to the role. Traders currently assign low probability to removal before year-end, reflecting the absence of an active motion to vacate and the short timeline before elections determine the majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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