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Politique·Chambre Des Représentants

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Politique·Chambre Des Représentants

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%

Melissa Hernandez 4.6%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 3.9%

Wendy Huang 1.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%

Melissa Hernandez 4.6%

Victor Aguilar Jr. 3.9%

Wendy Huang 1.5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Aisha Wahab

$508 Vol.

63%

Melissa Hernandez

$248 Vol.

5%

Wendy Huang

$410 Vol.

2%

Carin Elam

$246 Vol.

42%

Matt Ortega

$219 Vol.

40%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$705 Vol.

17%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$188 Vol.

4%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the California 14th Congressional District special election due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and established state senate record in a heavily Democratic district vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. A crowded field of Democratic challengers including Melissa Hernandez, Carin Elam, Rakhi Israni Singh, and Matt Ortega remains fragmented, with limited Republican opposition led by Wendy Huang. Recent polls and fundraising reports show Wahab maintaining a double-digit lead, while the June 16 special primary could produce an outright winner or advance top contenders to the August 18 runoff. Trader consensus on these probabilities incorporates the structural advantages of party machinery and the district’s voting patterns.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Volume
$2,523
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the California 14th Congressional District special election due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and established state senate record in a heavily Democratic district vacated by Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. A crowded field of Democratic challengers including Melissa Hernandez, Carin Elam, Rakhi Israni Singh, and Matt Ortega remains fragmented, with limited Republican opposition led by Wendy Huang. Recent polls and fundraising reports show Wahab maintaining a double-digit lead, while the June 16 special primary could produce an outright winner or advance top contenders to the August 18 runoff. Trader consensus on these probabilities incorporates the structural advantages of party machinery and the district’s voting patterns.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Volume
$2,523
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

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Questions fréquentes

« CA-14 Special Election Winner? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aisha Wahab » à 63%, suivi de « Carin Elam » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 63¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« CA-14 Special Election Winner? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 16, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « CA-14 Special Election Winner? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CA-14 Special Election Winner? » est « Aisha Wahab » à 63%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Carin Elam » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CA-14 Special Election Winner? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.