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Politics·Georgia

GA-13 Special Election Winner

icon for GA-13 Special Election Winner
Politics·Georgia

GA-13 Special Election Winner

Everton Blair 48.3%

Marcye Scott 44%

Carlos Moore 1.8%

Caesar Gonzales <1%

Polymarket

$12,672 Vol.

Everton Blair 48.3%

Marcye Scott 44%

Carlos Moore 1.8%

Caesar Gonzales <1%

Polymarket

$12,672 Vol.

icon for Everton Blair

Everton Blair

$889 Vol.

48%

icon for Marcye Scott

Marcye Scott

$5,330 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Moore

Carlos Moore

$5,564 Vol.

2%

icon for Caesar Gonzales

Caesar Gonzales

$254 Vol.

1%

icon for Tony Brown

Tony Brown

$386 Vol.

1%

icon for Fayth Park

Fayth Park

$249 Vol.

<1%

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/. The crowded Democratic field for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election, triggered by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 death, features several locally prominent contenders including Marcye Scott, Everton Blair, Carlos Moore, and Tony Brown competing alongside limited Republican options. This fragmentation in a solidly Democratic district spanning Clayton, DeKalb, and surrounding counties has produced closely matched trader probabilities, as no candidate has secured a decisive edge or broad party endorsement ahead of the July 28 vote. A majority is unlikely, increasing the chance of an August 25 runoff between the top two finishers. Limited public polling, brief campaign timelines, and competing local profiles sustain the tight positioning, while upcoming endorsements, fundraising reports, or voter outreach efforts could begin to differentiate leading contenders.

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$12,672
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/. The crowded Democratic field for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election, triggered by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 death, features several locally prominent contenders including Marcye Scott, Everton Blair, Carlos Moore, and Tony Brown competing alongside limited Republican options. This fragmentation in a solidly Democratic district spanning Clayton, DeKalb, and surrounding counties has produced closely matched trader probabilities, as no candidate has secured a decisive edge or broad party endorsement ahead of the July 28 vote. A majority is unlikely, increasing the chance of an August 25 runoff between the top two finishers. Limited public polling, brief campaign timelines, and competing local profiles sustain the tight positioning, while upcoming endorsements, fundraising reports, or voter outreach efforts could begin to differentiate leading contenders.

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$12,672
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-13 Special Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Everton Blair" at 48%, followed by "Marcye Scott" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GA-13 Special Election Winner" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GA-13 Special Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-13 Special Election Winner" is "Everton Blair" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcye Scott" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-13 Special Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.