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icon for Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?
Politics·Congress

Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

icon for Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?
Politics·Congress

Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

33% chance
Polymarket
NEW
33% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 57% implied probability that Rep. Tony Gonzales faces criminal charges by June 30, reflecting the absence of any DOJ or FBI investigations despite a high-profile House Ethics Committee probe into alleged sexual misconduct with a staffer who died by suicide. The ethics inquiry, launched March 4 after Gonzales admitted the affair and amid new reports of explicit texts to another campaign aide, concluded without criminal referrals roughly two days ago, coinciding with his mid-April resignation amid expulsion threats. No indictments, arrests, or official legal actions have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring ethics violations as congressional—not prosecutorial—matters, though late-breaking developments could shift odds before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,128
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 57% implied probability that Rep. Tony Gonzales faces criminal charges by June 30, reflecting the absence of any DOJ or FBI investigations despite a high-profile House Ethics Committee probe into alleged sexual misconduct with a staffer who died by suicide. The ethics inquiry, launched March 4 after Gonzales admitted the affair and amid new reports of explicit texts to another campaign aide, concluded without criminal referrals roughly two days ago, coinciding with his mid-April resignation amid expulsion threats. No indictments, arrests, or official legal actions have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring ethics violations as congressional—not prosecutorial—matters, though late-breaking developments could shift odds before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,128
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzales between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 42% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 42¢, the market collectively assigns a 42% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?" is 42% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 42% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.