Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain resolution for "No" at 100% implied probability, as the March 31 deadline elapsed without any federal indictment or criminal charges filed against Hillary Clinton. Recent House Oversight Committee depositions in late February 2026, tied to the Jeffrey Epstein files probe, saw Clinton testify under oath denying knowledge of Epstein's crimes, but produced no DOJ actions or referrals leading to prosecution—only released videos and partisan threats of contempt that never materialized. Absent any breaking federal investigations or verified legal filings by the cutoff, this outcome aligns with historical patterns where congressional scrutiny rarely yields swift charges against high-profile figures, rendering upset scenarios implausibly remote post-deadline.