Official records, including the New York City medical examiner’s ruling and federal investigations, established Jeffrey Epstein’s death by suicide in August 2019 while in federal custody. Subsequent document releases, congressional reviews, and a detailed 2026 New York Times examination have reinforced this conclusion through autopsy details, prison records, and witness accounts, with no verified sightings, DNA matches, or official reversals emerging in the years since. Trader consensus at 97.9% for “No” reflects this sustained evidentiary baseline and the absence of credible confirmation mechanisms. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to extraordinary scenarios such as authenticated new forensic evidence, a verified government statement, or conclusive identification of a living individual before the 2027 cutoff.