Traders assign near-certain odds against Jeffrey Epstein being confirmed alive before 2027, driven by the consistent official record that he died by suicide in federal custody in August 2019, as reaffirmed in multiple Department of Justice and FBI reviews. No authenticated documentation, forensic evidence, or institutional reversal has emerged to challenge that determination. Recent online claims of sightings, including AI-generated images from early 2026 and viral videos of lookalikes, have been promptly debunked by fact-checkers and authorities, leaving the established conclusion intact. Upcoming congressional testimony from prison staff may clarify procedural details but shows no sign of altering core findings. Shifts could occur only through verified new evidence such as DNA confirmation or an official announcement, developments that remain improbable given the passage of time and prior exhaustive inquiries.