Official records from 2019 confirm Jeffrey Epstein's death by suicide while in federal custody, with the body positively identified through multiple forensic methods and no verified evidence of survival emerging since. Trader consensus at 95% against confirmation before 2027 reflects the absence of credible sightings, official reversals, or new documentation in the intervening years, consistent with standard procedures for high-profile inmate deaths. Any shift would require verifiable proof such as fresh DNA matches, authenticated video, or a formal government statement, none of which have appeared despite ongoing public interest. Historical patterns show such extraordinary claims rarely gain traction without concrete substantiation, keeping probabilities stable.