Trader consensus assigns 74.5% implied probability to the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender remaining unconfirmed through 2026, driven by the Department of Justice's inaction following Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12, 2026, public demand to unredact the February 3 document from Iowa Republican caucus files, despite no subsequent releases or official statements. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% on AI analyses like Grok identifying her via Epstein photo ties and past candidacy outperforming Jeb Bush locally; Ben Carson follows at 11.7% for his 9.4% statewide Iowa finish exceeding Bush's 2.8%. Marco Rubio (8.8%), Ted Cruz (4.1%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) trail amid the email's unique claim of votes from "only one congressional district," with no fresh DOJ moves or leaks altering trader assessments amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNot revealed in 2026 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 18%
Marco Rubio 15.0%
Ben Carson 12.6%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Not revealed in 2026
75%
Gwendolyn Beck
18%
Marco Rubio
10%
Ben Carson
13%
Ted Cruz
4%
Donald Trump
3%
Rand Paul
2%
Not revealed in 2026 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 18%
Marco Rubio 15.0%
Ben Carson 12.6%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Not revealed in 2026
$0 Vol.
75%
Gwendolyn Beck
$0 Vol.
18%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
10%
Ben Carson
$0 Vol.
13%
Ted Cruz
$0 Vol.
4%
Donald Trump
$0 Vol.
3%
Rand Paul
$0 Vol.
2%
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns 74.5% implied probability to the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender remaining unconfirmed through 2026, driven by the Department of Justice's inaction following Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12, 2026, public demand to unredact the February 3 document from Iowa Republican caucus files, despite no subsequent releases or official statements. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% on AI analyses like Grok identifying her via Epstein photo ties and past candidacy outperforming Jeb Bush locally; Ben Carson follows at 11.7% for his 9.4% statewide Iowa finish exceeding Bush's 2.8%. Marco Rubio (8.8%), Ted Cruz (4.1%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) trail amid the email's unique claim of votes from "only one congressional district," with no fresh DOJ moves or leaks altering trader assessments amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns 74.5% implied probability to the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender remaining unconfirmed through 2026, driven by the Department of Justice's inaction following Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12, 2026, public demand to unredact the February 3 document from Iowa Republican caucus files, despite no subsequent releases or official statements. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% on AI analyses like Grok identifying her via Epstein photo ties and past candidacy outperforming Jeb Bush locally; Ben Carson follows at 11.7% for his 9.4% statewide Iowa finish exceeding Bush's 2.8%. Marco Rubio (8.8%), Ted Cruz (4.1%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) trail amid the email's unique claim of votes from "only one congressional district," with no fresh DOJ moves or leaks altering trader assessments amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns 74.5% implied probability to the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender remaining unconfirmed through 2026, driven by the Department of Justice's inaction following Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12, 2026, public demand to unredact the February 3 document from Iowa Republican caucus files, despite no subsequent releases or official statements. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% on AI analyses like Grok identifying her via Epstein photo ties and past candidacy outperforming Jeb Bush locally; Ben Carson follows at 11.7% for his 9.4% statewide Iowa finish exceeding Bush's 2.8%. Marco Rubio (8.8%), Ted Cruz (4.1%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) trail amid the email's unique claim of votes from "only one congressional district," with no fresh DOJ moves or leaks altering trader assessments amid ongoing Epstein files scrutiny.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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