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Politics·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Market icon
Politics·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<5,000 42%

>8,000 40%

5,000-5,500 33%

5,500-6,000 32%

Polymarket
NEW

<5,000 42%

>8,000 40%

5,000-5,500 33%

5,500-6,000 32%

Polymarket
NEW

<5,000

$0 Vol.

42%

5,000-5,500

$0 Vol.

33%

5,500-6,000

$0 Vol.

32%

6,000-6,500

$0 Vol.

31%

6,500-7,000

$0 Vol.

31%

7,000-7,500

$0 Vol.

31%

7,500-8,000

$0 Vol.

31%

>8,000

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 30 reflects deep uncertainty from ongoing TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown since mid-February, which have fueled security lines exceeding 30-180 minutes at hubs like EWR, ORD, and ATL, cascading into operational backups. Recent FAA advisories highlight high winds potentially impacting East Coast airports like JFK, LGA, and PHL, while mid-March storms caused over 12,000 disruptions but March 24 logged just 4,128 delays amid recovery. Spring break tailwinds add volume pressure, keeping <5,000 (41.5%) and >8,000 (40.0%) neck-and-neck versus mid-range bins. Separation hinges on FAA ground delay program announcements, real-time TSA wait metrics, or refined weather forecasts for thunderstorms or winds.

Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 30 reflects deep uncertainty from ongoing TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown since mid-February, which have fueled security lines exceeding 30-180 minutes at hubs like EWR, ORD, and ATL, cascading into operational backups. Recent FAA advisories highlight high winds potentially impacting East Coast airports like JFK, LGA, and PHL, while mid-March storms caused over 12,000 disruptions but March 24 logged just 4,128 delays amid recovery. Spring break tailwinds add volume pressure, keeping <5,000 (41.5%) and >8,000 (40.0%) neck-and-neck versus mid-range bins. Separation hinges on FAA ground delay program announcements, real-time TSA wait metrics, or refined weather forecasts for thunderstorms or winds.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 30 reflects deep uncertainty from ongoing TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown since mid-February, which have fueled security lines exceeding 30-180 minutes at hubs like EWR, ORD, and ATL, cascading into operational backups. Recent FAA advisories highlight high winds potentially impacting East Coast airports like JFK, LGA, and PHL, while mid-March storms caused over 12,000 disruptions but March 24 logged just 4,128 delays amid recovery. Spring break tailwinds add volume pressure, keeping <5,000 (41.5%) and >8,000 (40.0%) neck-and-neck versus mid-range bins. Separation hinges on FAA ground delay program announcements, real-time TSA wait metrics, or refined weather forecasts for thunderstorms or winds.

Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 30 reflects deep uncertainty from ongoing TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown since mid-February, which have fueled security lines exceeding 30-180 minutes at hubs like EWR, ORD, and ATL, cascading into operational backups. Recent FAA advisories highlight high winds potentially impacting East Coast airports like JFK, LGA, and PHL, while mid-March storms caused over 12,000 disruptions but March 24 logged just 4,128 delays amid recovery. Spring break tailwinds add volume pressure, keeping <5,000 (41.5%) and >8,000 (40.0%) neck-and-neck versus mid-range bins. Separation hinges on FAA ground delay program announcements, real-time TSA wait metrics, or refined weather forecasts for thunderstorms or winds.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5,000" at 42%, followed by ">8,000" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" is "<5,000" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">8,000" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.