Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Name: Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Start: 2026-03-26T20:15:46.692Z
End: 2026-03-27T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·TSA

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 26

Mar 27

>6,000 84%

5,500-6,000 12%

5,000-5,500 9%

4,500-5,000 4%

$1,689 Vol.

Mar 27, 2026

<3,000

$46 Vol.

11%

3,000-3,500

$594 Vol.

3,500-4,000

$328 Vol.

<1%

4,000-4,500

$157 Vol.

10%

4,500-5,000

$126 Vol.

13%

5,000-5,500

$150 Vol.

18%

5,500-6,000

$104 Vol.

17%

>6,000

$217 Vol.

68%

>6,000 84%

5,500-6,000 12%

5,000-5,500 9%

4,500-5,000 4%

$1,689 Vol.

Mar 27, 2026

<3,000

$46 Vol.

11%

3,000-3,500

$594 Vol.

3,500-4,000

$328 Vol.

<1%

4,000-4,500

$157 Vol.

10%

4,500-5,000

$126 Vol.

13%

5,000-5,500

$150 Vol.

18%

5,500-6,000

$104 Vol.

17%

>6,000

$217 Vol.

68%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Volume

$1,689

End Date

Mar 27, 2026

Market Opened

Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Severe weather forecasts across the Midwest and Northeast, including heavy snow and high winds targeting key hubs like Chicago O'Hare and New York-area airports, are driving trader consensus toward over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 66.5% implied probability. Updated NOAA models released in the past 24 hours confirm the winter storm's trajectory and intensity, building on disruptions from similar systems last week that exceeded 5,000 delays. Peak spring break travel volume exacerbates risks of cascading delays from air traffic control holds and de-icing needs at FAA-regulated facilities. Lower brackets like 5,500-6,000 (22%) account for potential partial mitigations via airline schedule adjustments, while sub-5,000 outcomes hinge on unexpected storm weakening.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 27, 2026, 3:45 PM UTC

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?

81%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

80%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">6,000" at 68%, followed by "5,000-5,500" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is ">6,000" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5,000-5,500" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 68¢ for ">6,000" in the "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 68% chance that ">6,000" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 68¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 32¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" market has a growing discussion of 7 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (7)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?"?

What are the current odds for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?"?

How will "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?"?

What does a price of 68¢ for ">6,000" mean?

When does the "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?"?

What is Polymarket?