Market icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 40.9%

Marco Rubio 15.4%

Donald Trump 2.9%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.3%

Polymarket

$320,023,132 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$320,023,132
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Created At
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $320 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 40.9%

Marco Rubio 15.4%

Donald Trump 2.9%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.3%

Polymarket

$320,023,132 Vol.

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$4,527,264 Vol.

41%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$4,436,125 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$4,271,188 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$2,994,013 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$3,592,187 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$3,468,577 Vol.

2%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$17,068,202 Vol.

2%

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Ted Cruz

$6,541,152 Vol.

2%

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Brian Kemp

$6,408,667 Vol.

2%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,166,110 Vol.

2%

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Tucker Carlson

$2,399,873 Vol.

2%

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Elon Musk

$17,465,546 Vol.

2%

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Tom Brady

$19,119,041 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$10,929,659 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$6,822,682 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$8,373,018 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$12,145,768 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$4,757,625 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$11,157,532 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$788,303 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$12,565,073 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,105,025 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,397,547 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$5,342,168 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$17,392,156 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$13,863,094 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$15,085,780 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$19,483,218 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$20,507,850 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$19,339,280 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$24,461,931 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$8,681,794 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$365,682 Vol.

1%

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $320 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.