President Trump's second term, underway since January 20, 2025 and set to conclude January 20, 2029, faces no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals, driving trader consensus to 99.9% on "No" for departure by March 31. With Republicans holding Congress, Democratic calls like Senator Ed Markey's January push over a Greenland diplomatic note or a pending House impeachment resolution have stalled without votes or momentum. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, scandals, or cabinet shifts under Vice President Vance—have altered this stability, as confirmed by ongoing executive orders and the February State of the Union. Realistic disruptions would demand a sudden catalyzing event like a major scandal triggering rapid House articles, two-thirds Senate conviction, or VP-led incapacity declaration, all unprecedented barriers in the three days remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$12,399,404 Vol.
$12,399,404 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$12,399,404 Vol.
$12,399,404 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second term, underway since January 20, 2025 and set to conclude January 20, 2029, faces no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals, driving trader consensus to 99.9% on "No" for departure by March 31. With Republicans holding Congress, Democratic calls like Senator Ed Markey's January push over a Greenland diplomatic note or a pending House impeachment resolution have stalled without votes or momentum. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, scandals, or cabinet shifts under Vice President Vance—have altered this stability, as confirmed by ongoing executive orders and the February State of the Union. Realistic disruptions would demand a sudden catalyzing event like a major scandal triggering rapid House articles, two-thirds Senate conviction, or VP-led incapacity declaration, all unprecedented barriers in the three days remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$12,399,404End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second term, underway since January 20, 2025 and set to conclude January 20, 2029, faces no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals, driving trader consensus to 99.9% on "No" for departure by March 31. With Republicans holding Congress, Democratic calls like Senator Ed Markey's January push over a Greenland diplomatic note or a pending House impeachment resolution have stalled without votes or momentum. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, scandals, or cabinet shifts under Vice President Vance—have altered this stability, as confirmed by ongoing executive orders and the February State of the Union. Realistic disruptions would demand a sudden catalyzing event like a major scandal triggering rapid House articles, two-thirds Senate conviction, or VP-led incapacity declaration, all unprecedented barriers in the three days remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,399,404End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's second term, underway since January 20, 2025 and set to conclude January 20, 2029, faces no active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals, driving trader consensus to 99.9% on "No" for departure by March 31. With Republicans holding Congress, Democratic calls like Senator Ed Markey's January push over a Greenland diplomatic note or a pending House impeachment resolution have stalled without votes or momentum. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as health crises, scandals, or cabinet shifts under Vice President Vance—have altered this stability, as confirmed by ongoing executive orders and the February State of the Union. Realistic disruptions would demand a sudden catalyzing event like a major scandal triggering rapid House articles, two-thirds Senate conviction, or VP-led incapacity declaration, all unprecedented barriers in the three days remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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