Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting steep institutional barriers to removal despite recent partisan pressure. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson filing 13 articles of impeachment around April 7, have intensified calls for impeachment or the 25th Amendment following Trump's profane Easter threats against Iran, labeling them escalatory. However, the Republican-controlled House blocks advancement, with no whip counts or committee hearings signaling momentum, and Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority unattainable absent GOP defections. Unverified health rumors persist but lack substantiation amid Trump's active schedule, including an April 6 press conference. No resignation signals or Cabinet actions alter this dynamic through late June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2,516,337 Vol.
$2,516,337 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$2,516,337 Vol.
$2,516,337 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting steep institutional barriers to removal despite recent partisan pressure. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson filing 13 articles of impeachment around April 7, have intensified calls for impeachment or the 25th Amendment following Trump's profane Easter threats against Iran, labeling them escalatory. However, the Republican-controlled House blocks advancement, with no whip counts or committee hearings signaling momentum, and Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority unattainable absent GOP defections. Unverified health rumors persist but lack substantiation amid Trump's active schedule, including an April 6 press conference. No resignation signals or Cabinet actions alter this dynamic through late June.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$2,516,337End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting steep institutional barriers to removal despite recent partisan pressure. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson filing 13 articles of impeachment around April 7, have intensified calls for impeachment or the 25th Amendment following Trump's profane Easter threats against Iran, labeling them escalatory. However, the Republican-controlled House blocks advancement, with no whip counts or committee hearings signaling momentum, and Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority unattainable absent GOP defections. Unverified health rumors persist but lack substantiation amid Trump's active schedule, including an April 6 press conference. No resignation signals or Cabinet actions alter this dynamic through late June.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,516,337End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump remaining in office through June 30, reflecting steep institutional barriers to removal despite recent partisan pressure. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson filing 13 articles of impeachment around April 7, have intensified calls for impeachment or the 25th Amendment following Trump's profane Easter threats against Iran, labeling them escalatory. However, the Republican-controlled House blocks advancement, with no whip counts or committee hearings signaling momentum, and Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority unattainable absent GOP defections. Unverified health rumors persist but lack substantiation amid Trump's active schedule, including an April 6 press conference. No resignation signals or Cabinet actions alter this dynamic through late June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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