Market icon
Politics·Mentions

What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

Market icon
Politics·Mentions

What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

NEW

$37,210 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$37,210 Vol.

Polymarket

God 3+ times

$593 Vol.

56%

Oil / Gas 3+ times

$2,336 Vol.

87%

Objective / Goal 3+ times

$376 Vol.

56%

Operation Epic Fury

$1,643 Vol.

88%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$588 Vol.

41%

Proxy / Hezbollah

$168 Vol.

28%

Bibi / Netanyahu

$577 Vol.

28%

Ceasefire / Peace Deal

$2,073 Vol.

72%

Six Seven

$1,662 Vol.

5%

Hormuz

$6,900 Vol.

82%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$252 Vol.

36%

Kharg / Island

$1,249 Vol.

28%

Peace Through Strength

$378 Vol.

26%

Fake News

$1,079 Vol.

23%

Obliterated / Obliteration

$1,205 Vol.

75%

Mission Accomplished

$361 Vol.

26%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$14,458 Vol.

4%

-No Qualifying Event-

$1,887 Vol.

2%

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a primetime address to the nation at 9 p.m. ET on April 1, 2026, providing an "important update" on the ongoing Iran war, as announced by White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt. This follows Trump's recent statement that U.S. forces could withdraw from Iran within two to three weeks, with or without a deal, fueling trader consensus on potential de-escalation amid stalled diplomatic efforts—Iran has dismissed U.S. seriousness in negotiations. Recent airstrikes and reports of ground operation considerations heighten uncertainty, with historical precedent for such addresses signaling major policy shifts like troop movements or ceasefires. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on whether Trump announces withdrawal, victory declaration, escalation, or diplomatic breakthroughs during the speech.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,210
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a primetime address to the nation at 9 p.m. ET on April 1, 2026, providing an "important update" on the ongoing Iran war, as announced by White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt. This follows Trump's recent statement that U.S. forces could withdraw from Iran within two to three weeks, with or without a deal, fueling trader consensus on potential de-escalation amid stalled diplomatic efforts—Iran has dismissed U.S. seriousness in negotiations. Recent airstrikes and reports of ground operation considerations heighten uncertainty, with historical precedent for such addresses signaling major policy shifts like troop movements or ceasefires. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on whether Trump announces withdrawal, victory declaration, escalation, or diplomatic breakthroughs during the speech.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,210
End Date
Apr 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Operation Epic Fury" at 88%, followed by "Oil / Gas 3+ times" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " has generated $37.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? ," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " is "Operation Epic Fury" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oil / Gas 3+ times" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.